La Calzada vs San Marcial — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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La Calzada and San Marcial meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 1 November 2026. La Calzada have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. San Marcial have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for La Calzada and 1.22 for San Marcial. The models give La Calzada a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an San Marcial win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
La CalzadaSan MarcialHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| La Calzada | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 67% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| La Calzada | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 40% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Calzada | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Calzada | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
La Calzada (H)
Comillas1–0
Vianés3–2
Calahorra2–1
Mirandes0–1
San Ignacio1–4
Pradejón3–1San Marcial (A)
Cenicero3–1
Berceo1–2
Varea0–0
Haro Deportivo0–0
Villegas2–2Comillas2–0Head to Head · 2 matches
La CalzadaSan Marcial| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berceo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 |  Alfaro | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | Haro Deportivo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 12 |
| 5 | La Calzada | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Pradejón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Varea | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | San Marcial | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Agoncillo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 10 |  Anguiano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Oyonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Yagüe | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Cenicero | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Comillas | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Calasancio | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Vianés | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 |  River Ebro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Casalarreina | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
La Calzada- ●La Calzada have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of La Calzada's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of La Calzada's points have been earned at home.
San Marcial- ●San Marcial have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
La CalzadaBerceo1–5Comillas1–0Varea0–1Vianés3–2Casalarreina3–0Calahorra2–1River Ebro18/10Cenicero25/10San Marcial01/11San MarcialCenicero3–1River Ebro1–1Berceo1–2Comillas1–1Varea0–0Vianés1–0Yagüe17/10Pradejón25/10La Calzada01/11Top Scorers
La CalzadaSan Marcial