Cenicero vs Alfaro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Cenicero and Alfaro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Cenicero have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Alfaro have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Cenicero and 1.40 for Alfaro. The models give Cenicero a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfaro win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Cenicero
AlfaroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cenicero | Home | Away | Alfaro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Cenicero | Home | Away | Alfaro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cenicero | Alfaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cenicero | Alfaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 83% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Cenicero (H)
San Marcial1–3
Berceo2–1
Varea1–1Varea0–1
Oyonesa0–4
Calahorra II0–3Alfaro (A)
Casalarreina1–0
Anguiano2–1
Calasancio2–2
Real Unión0–2
Tudelano1–3
Basconia4–6Head to Head · 2 matches
CeniceroAlfaro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haro Deportivo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 | Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 |  La Calzada | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pradejón | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Varea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 | Anguiano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Comillas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Cenicero | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Vianés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |  River Ebro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Cenicero- ●Cenicero have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cenicero have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Cenicero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cenicero have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cenicero have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Alfaro- ●Alfaro have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Alfaro have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CeniceroPradejón0–1San Marcial1–3Yagüe1–2River Ebro2–3Berceo2–1Comillas0–0La Calzada25/10Oyonesa01/11Agoncillo08/11AlfaroVianés1–0Casalarreina1–0Calahorra2–1Anguiano2–1Haro Deportivo1–2Yagüe2–1Varea25/10Comillas01/11Berceo08/11Top Scorers
CeniceroAlfaroCards Given
CeniceroAlfaro