Varea vs Casalarreina — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Varea and Casalarreina meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Varea have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 0.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 0%; and clean sheets in 63% of games. Casalarreina have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 2.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Varea and 0.86 for Casalarreina. The models give Varea a 62% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Casalarreina win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
VareaCasalarreinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varea | Home | Away | Casalarreina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Varea | Home | Away | Casalarreina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 63% | 100% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varea | Casalarreina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 38% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varea | Casalarreina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 75% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Varea (H)
Alfaro1–0
Agoncillo1–0
La Calzada1–0
San Marcial0–0
Oyonesa0–2Oyonesa0–1Casalarreina (A)
Haro Deportivo1–5
Calasancio1–2Oyonesa0–1
Pradejón2–1La Calzada0–2
Tedeón3–1Head to Head · 9 matches
VareaCasalarreinaVareaCasalarreinaCasalarreinaVareaVareaCasalarreinaCasalarreina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |  Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | La Calzada | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Pradejón | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Varea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Anguiano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Comillas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 |  Cenicero | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Vianés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |  River Ebro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Varea- ●Varea have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Varea have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Varea have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Varea have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Varea have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Varea have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Varea have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Casalarreina- ●Casalarreina have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Casalarreina have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
VareaAlfaro1–0Calasancio1–0Agoncillo1–0Oyonesa1–1La Calzada1–0Pradejón1–1Haro Deportivo01/11Anguiano08/11Calahorra15/11CasalarreinaAnguiano1–2Haro Deportivo1–5Alfaro0–1Calasancio1–2Agoncillo1–5Oyonesa0–1Calahorra01/11Yagüe08/11Vianés15/11Top Scorers
VareaCasalarreinaCards Given
VareaCasalarreina