Alfaro vs San Marcial — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Alfaro and San Marcial meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Alfaro have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. San Marcial have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Alfaro and 1.28 for San Marcial. The models give Alfaro a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an San Marcial win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
AlfaroSan MarcialHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alfaro | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfaro | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfaro | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfaro | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Alfaro (H)
Vianés1–0
Calahorra2–1
Haro Deportivo1–2
Yagüe2–1
SD Logroñés0–1
Náxara2–1San Marcial (A)Yagüe3–0
Cenicero3–1
Berceo1–2
Varea0–0Haro Deportivo0–0
Villegas2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  La Calzada | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 | Varea | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 | Alfaro | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Calahorra | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +13 | 15 |
| 6 | Berceo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 15 |
| 7 | San Marcial | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Anguiano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 9 |  Pradejón | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Agoncillo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Oyonesa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Calasancio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  River Ebro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Comillas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Yagüe | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 16 | Cenicero | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Vianés | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 |  Casalarreina | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
Alfaro- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Alfaro have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
San Marcial- ●San Marcial have won their last 3 matches.
- ●San Marcial have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●San Marcial have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●San Marcial have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Marcial have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Marcial have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of San Marcial's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
AlfaroVarea0–1Vianés1–0Casalarreina1–0Calahorra2–1Anguiano2–1Haro Deportivo1–2Comillas01/11Berceo08/11River Ebro15/11San MarcialPradejón1–0Yagüe3–0Cenicero3–1River Ebro1–1Berceo1–2Comillas1–1La Calzada01/11Oyonesa08/11Agoncillo15/11Top Scorers
AlfaroSan MarcialCards Given
AlfaroSan Marcial