Berceo vs Casalarreina — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Berceo and Casalarreina meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Berceo have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Casalarreina have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.46 for Berceo and 1.08 for Casalarreina. The models give Berceo a 65% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Casalarreina win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Berceo—
Casalarreina5º
Position
18º
2.00
PPG
0.33
67%
Win %
11%
2.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.22
Conceded / game
2.56
70%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Berceo
Home (4)
—
Casalarreina
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
0.60
75%
Win %
20%
3.75
Goals / game
0.80
1.25
Conceded / game
2.40
80%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Berceo | Home | Away | Casalarreina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Berceo | Home | Away | Casalarreina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Berceo | Casalarreina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Berceo | Casalarreina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 10% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 80% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Berceo (H)L
Alfaro1–3
Alfaro1–3L
Agoncillo1–3
Agoncillo1–3W
La Calzada5–1
La Calzada5–1W
San Marcial2–1
San Marcial2–1W
River Ebro7–0
River Ebro7–0W
Yagüe2–0
Yagüe2–0Casalarreina (A)L
Calahorra0–3
Calahorra0–3L
Haro Deportivo1–5
Haro Deportivo1–5L
Calasancio1–2
Calasancio1–2L
Oyonesa0–1
Oyonesa0–1W
Pradejón2–1
Pradejón2–1LLa Calzada0–2
La Calzada0–2Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Berceo
30%
2
Draws
20%
5
Casalarreina
50%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
30/03/25Casalarreina
Berceo
2–3Casalarreina17/11/24Berceo
Casalarreina
0–2Berceo10/02/24Casalarreina
Berceo
1–1Casalarreina23/09/23Berceo
Casalarreina
0–1Berceo05/03/23Berceo
Casalarreina
1–2Berceo30/10/22Casalarreina
Berceo
0–2Casalarreina20/02/22Casalarreina
Berceo
0–1Casalarreina10/10/21Berceo
Casalarreina
2–1Berceo12/01/20Berceo
Casalarreina
3–1Berceo25/08/19Casalarreina
Berceo
1–1Casalarreina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | La Calzada | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 3 | Alfaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +16 | 18 |
| 5 | Berceo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 18 |
| 6 |  Anguiano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  Varea | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 9 | San Marcial | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Pradejón | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Yagüe | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Calasancio | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 |  Comillas | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Cenicero | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 |  Vianés | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Team Insights
Berceo- ●Berceo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Berceo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Berceo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Berceo have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Berceo's goals have been scored at home.
Casalarreina- ●Casalarreina have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 9 matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Casalarreina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Casalarreina have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 5 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Casalarreina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Casalarreina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Casalarreina have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Casalarreina have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BerceoLHAlfaro1–3
Alfaro1–3WACalasancio1–0
Calasancio1–0LHAgoncillo1–3
Agoncillo1–3LAOyonesa0–2
Oyonesa0–2WHLa Calzada5–1
La Calzada5–1WAPradejón2–1
Pradejón2–1–AHaro Deportivo15/11
Haro Deportivo15/11–HAnguiano22/11
Anguiano22/11–ACalahorra29/11
Calahorra29/11CasalarreinaLHYagüe3–4
Yagüe3–4LACalahorra0–3
Calahorra0–3LHAnguiano1–2
Anguiano1–2LAHaro Deportivo1–5
Haro Deportivo1–5LHAlfaro0–1
Alfaro0–1LACalasancio1–2
Calasancio1–2–HVianés15/11
Vianés15/11–AVarea22/11
Varea22/11–HComillas29/11
Comillas29/11Top Scorers
BerceoJ. Alonso5 ⚽
S. Tamayo5 ⚽
A. Gomez2 ⚽
2 ⚽
B. Perez1 ⚽
J. Garcia1 ⚽
CasalarreinaA. Rojo2 ⚽
H. Galiana2 ⚽
R. Lopez2 ⚽
R. Sousa Santos1 ⚽
Cards Given
BerceoCasalarreinaA. A. Iglesias Ducha1 🟨