Varea vs Yagüe — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Varea and Yagüe meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Varea have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Yagüe have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 89%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Varea and 0.65 for Yagüe. The models give Varea a 66% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Yagüe win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varea | Home | Away | Yagüe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 60% | 100% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 40% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Varea | Home | Away | Yagüe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 20% | 80% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varea | Yagüe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 56% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varea | Yagüe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +16 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 4 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Varea have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Varea have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Varea have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Varea have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Varea failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Varea have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Varea's goals have been scored away.
- ●Yagüe have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Yagüe have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●89% of Yagüe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Yagüe's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Yagüe's points have been earned at home.
- ●Yagüe have scored 78% of their goals in the first half.

