Alfaro vs La Calzada — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Alfaro and La Calzada meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Alfaro have recorded 7 wins from 10 matches this season (70% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. La Calzada have won 67% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Alfaro and 1.09 for La Calzada. The models give Alfaro a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an La Calzada win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Alfaro—
La Calzada3º
Position
2º
2.20
PPG
2.40
70%
Win %
80%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
0.90
Conceded / game
1.10
60%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Alfaro
Home (5)
—
La Calzada
Away (5)
2.40
PPG
1.80
80%
Win %
60%
1.40
Goals / game
1.20
0.80
Conceded / game
1.20
60%
BTTS %
20%
40%
Clean sheet %
60%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Alfaro | Home | Away | La Calzada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 100% | 80% | 83% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 60% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfaro | Home | Away | La Calzada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 67% | 86% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 33% | 14% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfaro | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfaro | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Alfaro (H)W
Comillas1–0
Comillas1–0W
Vianés1–0
Vianés1–0W
Calahorra2–1
Calahorra2–1L
Haro Deportivo1–2
Haro Deportivo1–2W
Yagüe2–1
Yagüe2–1L
SD Logroñés0–1
SD Logroñés0–1La Calzada (A)W
Pradejón1–0
Pradejón1–0W
Cenicero1–0
Cenicero1–0L
Berceo1–5
Berceo1–5L
Varea0–1
Varea0–1W
Casalarreina3–0
Casalarreina3–0L
Anguiano0–1
Anguiano0–1Head to Head · 7 matches
5
Alfaro
71%
1
Draws
14%
1
La Calzada
14%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
86%
BTTS
6/7
28/01/24La Calzada
Alfaro
4–1La Calzada10/09/23Alfaro
La Calzada
1–1Alfaro03/04/22La Calzada
Alfaro
2–1La Calzada21/11/21Alfaro
La Calzada
3–4Alfaro30/01/21La Calzada
Alfaro
2–3La Calzada01/11/20Alfaro
La Calzada
0–1Alfaro24/11/19La Calzada
Alfaro
2–1La Calzada| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | La Calzada | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 24 |
| 3 | Alfaro | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +18 | 21 |
| 5 | Varea | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Berceo | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 7 | Anguiano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Oyonesa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Agoncillo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 10 |  San Marcial | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Pradejón | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Yagüe | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 |  Calasancio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 14 |  River Ebro | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 15 | Comillas | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Cenicero | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Vianés | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Alfaro- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Alfaro failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Alfaro have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Alfaro have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
La Calzada- ●La Calzada have won their last 4 matches.
- ●La Calzada have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●La Calzada have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●La Calzada have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●La Calzada failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●La Calzada have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of La Calzada's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
AlfaroWABerceo3–1
Berceo3–1WHComillas1–0
Comillas1–0LAVarea0–1
Varea0–1WHVianés1–0
Vianés1–0WACasalarreina1–0
Casalarreina1–0WHCalahorra2–1
Calahorra2–1–HRiver Ebro15/11
River Ebro15/11–ACenicero22/11
Cenicero22/11–HSan Marcial29/11
San Marcial29/11La CalzadaWAPradejón1–0
Pradejón1–0WHSan Marcial2–1
San Marcial2–1WACenicero1–0
Cenicero1–0WHRiver Ebro2–1
River Ebro2–1LABerceo1–5
Berceo1–5WHComillas1–0
Comillas1–0–AYagüe14/11
Yagüe14/11–HOyonesa22/11
Oyonesa22/11–AAgoncillo29/11
Agoncillo29/11Top Scorers
AlfaroArturo8 ⚽
A. Hafidh Bouklata2 ⚽
F. Gazzoni1 ⚽
I. Jimenez1 ⚽
J. Vazquez1 ⚽
S. Pascual1 ⚽
La Calzada4 ⚽
A. Barahona3 ⚽
C. Padilla3 ⚽
A. Gonzalez1 ⚽
D. Soto1 ⚽
I. Alonso Gomez1 ⚽
Cards Given
AlfaroF. Sota2 🟨
La Calzada