Staphorst vs DVS 33 Ermelo — Derde Divisie
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Staphorst and DVS 33 Ermelo meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Staphorst have recorded 0 wins from 8 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. DVS 33 Ermelo have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Staphorst and 1.99 for DVS 33 Ermelo. The models give Staphorst a 36% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an DVS 33 Ermelo win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
StaphorstDVS 33 ErmeloHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Staphorst | Home | Away | DVS 33 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 80% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Staphorst | Home | Away | DVS 33 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 100% | 33% | 56% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 60% | 0% | 44% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Staphorst | DVS 33 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 11% |
| BTTS | 88% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Staphorst | DVS 33 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 88% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Staphorst (H)
SC Genemuiden2–3
ACV2–3SC Genemuiden1–2
UNA2–2
Excelsior '312–4
ROHDA Raalte2–1DVS 33 (A)
GVVV Veenendaal0–4
TEC4–4
ATC 652–1ACV1–1SC Genemuiden1–2GVVV Veenendaal0–3Head to Head · 8 matches
DVS 33 ErmeloStaphorstStaphorstDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorstDVS 33 ErmeloDVS 33 ErmeloStaphorst| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 | ACV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | SC Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 3 |  Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 |  Sportlust '46 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |  GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |  Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Vvsb | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  ADO '20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Dovo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 |  Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 16 |  Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 17 |  TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Team Insights
Staphorst- ●Staphorst have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Staphorst have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Staphorst have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Staphorst's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Staphorst's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Staphorst have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
DVS 33- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●67% of DVS 33 Ermelo's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
StaphorstACV2–3Harkemase Boys1–1SC Genemuiden1–2ADO '200–0Excelsior '312–4Dovo2–2Sparta Nijkerk26/09TEC03/10Hollandia10/10DVS 33Hollandia2–1TEC4–4Sparta Nijkerk1–3ACV1–1Harkemase Boys0–1SC Genemuiden1–2Sportlust '4626/09Hercules03/10Eemdijk10/10Top Scorers
StaphorstDVS 33Cards Given
StaphorstDVS 33