Zwaluwen vs Excelsior Maassluis — Derde Divisie
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Zwaluwen and Excelsior Maassluis meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Zwaluwen have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Excelsior Maassluis have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Zwaluwen and 1.31 for Excelsior Maassluis. The models give Zwaluwen a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Excelsior Maassluis win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
ZwaluwenExcelsior MaassluisHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Zwaluwen | Home | Away | Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Zwaluwen | Home | Away | Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zwaluwen | Excelsior Maassluis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zwaluwen | Excelsior Maassluis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 70% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 10% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Zwaluwen (H)
Purmersteijn0–1
FC Lisse1–0
UDI '191–0
UNA1–1
Blauw Geel3–0
TOGB0–1Excelsior Maassluis (A)
Sportlust '462–0
Achilles Veen3–2
ADO '201–1FC Lisse0–1UDI '191–1
Ijsselmeervogels0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
Excelsior Maassluis| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 |  ACV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 |  SC Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 3 |  Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportlust '46 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |  GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Vvsb | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | ADO '20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Dovo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 16 |  Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Team Insights
Zwaluwen- ●Zwaluwen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●89% of Zwaluwen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Zwaluwen's points have been earned at home.
Excelsior Maassluis- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of Excelsior Maassluis's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
ZwaluwenFC Lisse1–0Groene Ster0–1UDI '191–0Poortugaal1–3UNA1–1Dongen0–4Noordwijk26/09Achilles Veen03/10Roosendaal10/10Excelsior MaassluisRoosendaal5–0Achilles Veen3–2Noordwijk0–0FC Lisse0–1Groene Ster3–1UDI '191–1Blauw Geel26/09Vvsb03/10TOGB10/10Top Scorers
ZwaluwenExcelsior Maassluis