Dongen vs Groene Ster — Derde Divisie
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Dongen and Groene Ster meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Dongen have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 2.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Groene Ster have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.23 for Dongen and 1.68 for Groene Ster. The models give Dongen a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Groene Ster win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Dongen | Home | Away | Groene Ster | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Dongen | Home | Away | Groene Ster | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 89% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 86% | 75% | 100% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 67% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dongen | Groene Ster | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 71% | 33% |
| BTTS | 86% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 86% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dongen | Groene Ster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 | |
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 3 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Dongen have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Dongen have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Dongen have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Dongen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Dongen have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dongen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Dongen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Dongen have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Groene Ster have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Groene Ster have scored in each of their last 6 matches.