TOGB vs Blauw Geel — Derde Divisie
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TOGB and Blauw Geel meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 24 October 2026. TOGB have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 90%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Blauw Geel have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for TOGB and 1.96 for Blauw Geel. The models give TOGB a 37% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Blauw Geel win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
TOGB—
Blauw Geel17º
Position
9º
0.33
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
2.50
Conceded / game
1.50
70%
BTTS %
71%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
90%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
TOGB
Home (3)
—
Blauw Geel
Away (3)
0.33
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
3.00
Conceded / game
2.00
80%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| TOGB | Home | Away | Blauw Geel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| TOGB | Home | Away | Blauw Geel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 90% | 100% | 80% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| TOGB | Blauw Geel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 14% |
| BTTS | 70% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| TOGB | Blauw Geel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 70% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
TOGB (H)L
ROHDA Raalte4–6
ROHDA Raalte4–6L
Noordwijk0–3
Noordwijk0–3D
Groene Ster3–3
Groene Ster3–3W
Katwijk3–2
Katwijk3–2L
Poortugaal1–3
Poortugaal1–3WGroene Ster5–1
Groene Ster5–1Blauw Geel (A)W
Roosendaal3–1
Roosendaal3–1L
Sportlust '461–3
Sportlust '461–3L
Achilles Veen2–3
Achilles Veen2–3LNoordwijk0–2
Noordwijk0–2L
Zwaluwen0–3
Zwaluwen0–3LRoosendaal1–2
Roosendaal1–2Head to Head · 8 matches
2
TOGB
25%
4
Draws
50%
2
Blauw Geel
25%
75%
Over 1.5
6/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
63%
Over 3.5
5/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
08/02/26TOGB
Blauw Geel
1–3TOGB13/09/25Blauw Geel
TOGB
2–1Blauw Geel24/05/25TOGB
Blauw Geel
3–3TOGB15/12/24Blauw Geel
TOGB
2–2Blauw Geel25/05/24Blauw Geel
TOGB
0–0Blauw Geel17/12/23TOGB
Blauw Geel
3–1TOGB26/03/23TOGB
Blauw Geel
2–2TOGB02/10/22Blauw Geel
TOGB
0–1Blauw Geel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 16 |
| 1 |  ACV | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 |  SC Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 3 |  Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 13 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 6 | Sportlust '46 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |  GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Vvsb | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  ADO '20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 |  UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Dovo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 |  Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 16 |  Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 1 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
Team Insights
TOGB- ●TOGB have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●TOGB failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●TOGB have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●TOGB have lost their last 2 away matches.
Blauw Geel- ●Blauw Geel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Blauw Geel's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored 80% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Blauw Geel have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TOGBLHNoordwijk0–3
Noordwijk0–3LAFC Lisse2–3
FC Lisse2–3DHGroene Ster3–3
Groene Ster3–3LAUDI '191–2
UDI '191–2LHPoortugaal1–3
Poortugaal1–3DAUNA1–1
UNA1–1–AAchilles Veen26/09
Achilles Veen26/09–HRoosendaal03/10
Roosendaal03/10–AExcelsior Maassluis10/10
Excelsior Maassluis10/10Blauw GeelWHDongen3–1
Dongen3–1WARoosendaal3–1
Roosendaal3–1DHGOES2–2
GOES2–2LAAchilles Veen2–3
Achilles Veen2–3DHRijnvogels0–0
Rijnvogels0–0LANoordwijk0–2
Noordwijk0–2–AExcelsior Maassluis26/09
Excelsior Maassluis26/09–HUNA04/10
UNA04/10–AVvsb10/10
Vvsb10/10Top Scorers
TOGBF. Eijgenraam2 ⚽
A. Boujada1 ⚽
E. Bardi1 ⚽
J. Haars1 ⚽
J. Weegman1 ⚽
Lars de Jong1 ⚽
Blauw GeelB. van de Nieuwenhof1 ⚽