Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31 — Derde Divisie
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Sparta Nijkerk and Excelsior '31 meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Sparta Nijkerk have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Excelsior '31 have won 73% of their 11 matches, with 2.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 55%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Sparta Nijkerk and 2.08 for Excelsior '31. The models give Sparta Nijkerk a 41% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Excelsior '31 win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 75%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 71% | 75% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 55% | 57% | 50% | 55% | 80% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 86% | 50% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 71% | 25% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 25% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 14% | 50% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sparta Nijkerk | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS | 64% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sparta Nijkerk | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 80% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 100% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 | |
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 20 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 20 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 19 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 19 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 | |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 6 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 4 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 6 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 1 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 2 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Sparta Nijkerk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●78% of Sparta Nijkerk's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●64% of Sparta Nijkerk's points have been earned away.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●89% of Excelsior '31's goals conceded were conceded away.