Excelsior Maassluis vs Dongen — Derde Divisie
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Excelsior Maassluis and Dongen meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Excelsior Maassluis have recorded 10 wins from 14 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Dongen have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.36 goals scored and 2.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.40 for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.26 for Dongen. The models give Excelsior Maassluis a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Dongen win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Excelsior Maassluis—
Dongen3º
Position
6º
2.30
PPG
1.60
70%
Win %
50%
2.10
Goals / game
2.40
0.70
Conceded / game
2.10
50%
BTTS %
64%
43%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Excelsior Maassluis
Home (5)
—
Dongen
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.80
80%
Win %
20%
2.40
Goals / game
1.60
0.20
Conceded / game
3.20
43%
BTTS %
80%
57%
Clean sheet %
0%
71%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | Dongen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 86% | 86% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 71% | 57% | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 71% | 29% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | Dongen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 43% | 71% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 29% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 57% | 29% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excelsior Maassluis | Dongen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 45% |
| BTTS | 50% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excelsior Maassluis | Dongen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 71% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Excelsior Maassluis (H)W
TOGB3–2
TOGB3–2W
Blauw Geel1–0
Blauw Geel1–0W
Roosendaal5–0
Roosendaal5–0D
Noordwijk0–0
Noordwijk0–0W
Groene Ster3–1
Groene Ster3–1W
Sparta Rotterdam II4–2
Sparta Rotterdam II4–2Dongen (A)L
UDI '190–4
UDI '190–4D
UNA2–2
UNA2–2LBlauw Geel1–3
Blauw Geel1–3L
Rijnvogels2–5
Rijnvogels2–5W
EVV3–2
EVV3–2W
Heerjansdam2–1
Heerjansdam2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 1 |  ACV | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 23 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Excelsior '31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 20 |
| 5 |  SC Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 |  TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  ADO '20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Eemdijk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 7 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Dovo | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -19 | 1 |
Team Insights
Excelsior Maassluis- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Excelsior Maassluis's goals conceded were conceded away.
Dongen- ●Dongen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dongen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Dongen's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Dongen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Dongen's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dongen have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Excelsior MaassluisWAZwaluwen2–0
Zwaluwen2–0WHTOGB3–2
TOGB3–2WAVvsb3–2
Vvsb3–2WHBlauw Geel1–0
Blauw Geel1–0WHRoosendaal5–0
Roosendaal5–0WAAchilles Veen3–2
Achilles Veen3–2–HEVV24/10
EVV24/10–AGemert07/11
Gemert07/11–HRijnvogels14/11
Rijnvogels14/11DongenWHGroene Ster3–0
Groene Ster3–0LAUDI '190–4
UDI '190–4WHPoortugaal4–0
Poortugaal4–0DAUNA2–2
UNA2–2LABlauw Geel1–3
Blauw Geel1–3LHGOES2–3
GOES2–3–AFC Lisse24/10
FC Lisse24/10–HNoordwijk07/11
Noordwijk07/11–AAchilles Veen14/11
Achilles Veen14/11Top Scorers
Excelsior Maassluis11 ⚽
M. Tahiri1 ⚽
DongenN. Haddouchi1 ⚽
T. de Leeuw1 ⚽