Harkemase Boys vs Sparta Nijkerk — Derde Divisie
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Harkemase Boys and Sparta Nijkerk meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Harkemase Boys have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Sparta Nijkerk have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 2.23 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.86 for Harkemase Boys and 1.56 for Sparta Nijkerk. The models give Harkemase Boys a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Sparta Nijkerk win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Harkemase Boys | Home | Away | Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 71% | 100% | 85% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 57% | 80% | 69% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 46% | 50% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 29% | 0% | 15% | 13% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Harkemase Boys | Home | Away | Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 80% | 69% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 40% | 54% | 63% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 20% | 31% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Harkemase Boys | Sparta Nijkerk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS | 67% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Harkemase Boys | Sparta Nijkerk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 85% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Harkemase Boys have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Harkemase Boys have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Sparta Nijkerk's goals conceded were conceded at home.