Groene Ster vs Noordwijk — Derde Divisie
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Groene Ster and Noordwijk meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Groene Ster have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Noordwijk have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 73%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.26 for Groene Ster and 1.95 for Noordwijk. The models give Groene Ster a 24% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Noordwijk win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Groene Ster | Home | Away | Noordwijk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 89% | 80% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 20% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 11% | 20% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 11% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Groene Ster | Home | Away | Noordwijk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 89% | 100% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 56% | 80% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 44% | 80% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 11% | 0% | 73% | 63% | 86% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Groene Ster | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS | 79% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Groene Ster | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 7% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Groene Ster failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Groene Ster have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Groene Ster have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Groene Ster failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Groene Ster failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Groene Ster have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Groene Ster failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of Groene Ster's points have been earned at home.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.