Hercules vs Excelsior '31 — Derde Divisie
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Hercules and Excelsior '31 meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Hercules have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Excelsior '31 have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Hercules and 1.79 for Excelsior '31. The models give Hercules a 38% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Excelsior '31 win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Hercules | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 57% | 86% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 29% | 57% | 53% | 63% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 14% | 43% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 43% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Hercules | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 71% | 86% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 57% | 57% | 40% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 57% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 29% | 14% | 47% | 50% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hercules | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 47% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hercules | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 | |
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 22 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 16 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 9 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -20 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Hercules have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Hercules have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Hercules failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hercules failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hercules have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Hercules have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Hercules's goals have been scored away.
- ●Excelsior '31 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Excelsior '31's goals conceded were conceded away.