Blauw Geel vs Gemert — Derde Divisie
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Blauw Geel and Gemert meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Blauw Geel have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Gemert have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Blauw Geel and 1.55 for Gemert. The models give Blauw Geel a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gemert win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Blauw Geel—
Gemert11º
Position
9º
1.09
PPG
1.45
27%
Win %
36%
1.36
Goals / game
1.55
1.55
Conceded / game
1.64
67%
BTTS %
56%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
58%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Blauw Geel
Home (5)
—
Gemert
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.60
1.40
Conceded / game
2.20
80%
BTTS %
44%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Blauw Geel | Home | Away | Gemert | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 83% | 71% | 75% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 56% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Blauw Geel | Home | Away | Gemert | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 67% | 86% | 75% | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 38% | 29% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 14% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Blauw Geel | Gemert | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 6% |
| BTTS | 62% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Blauw Geel | Gemert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 23% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Blauw Geel (H)W
UDI '191–0
UDI '191–0L
Poortugaal1–3
Poortugaal1–3D
UNA1–1
UNA1–1W
Dongen3–1
Dongen3–1D
GOES2–2
GOES2–2D
Rijnvogels0–0
Rijnvogels0–0Gemert (A)L
Purmersteijn0–2
Purmersteijn0–2D
Roosendaal0–0
Roosendaal0–0L
Noordwijk0–4
Noordwijk0–4W
Groene Ster2–1
Groene Ster2–1W
Ijsselmeervogels3–0
Ijsselmeervogels3–0WPoortugaal2–1
Poortugaal2–1Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Blauw Geel
18%
3
Draws
27%
6
Gemert
55%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
82%
BTTS
9/11
01/03/26Blauw Geel
Gemert
2–3Blauw Geel27/09/25Gemert
Blauw Geel
1–2Gemert06/04/25Gemert
Blauw Geel
1–2Gemert27/10/24Blauw Geel
Gemert
2–0Blauw Geel07/04/24Blauw Geel
Gemert
2–1Blauw Geel05/11/23Gemert
Blauw Geel
2–3Gemert16/04/23Gemert
Blauw Geel
4–1Gemert30/10/22Blauw Geel
Gemert
1–1Blauw Geel06/04/22Gemert
Blauw Geel
2–5Gemert26/09/21Blauw Geel
Gemert
0–0Blauw Geel14/09/19Blauw Geel
Gemert
1–1Blauw Geel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 |
| 1 |  ACV | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 |
| 2 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Harkemase Boys | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 4 |  TEC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 5 |  Zwaluwen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Excelsior '31 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  SC Genemuiden | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 22 |
| 6 | Poortugaal | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 22 |
| 7 | UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 | GOES | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 | Gemert | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Dongen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Hercules | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 13 | UNA | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Roosendaal | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Hollandia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dovo | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -20 | 6 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -21 | 1 |
Team Insights
Blauw Geel- ●Blauw Geel have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Blauw Geel failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Blauw Geel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Gemert- ●Gemert have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gemert have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gemert failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gemert failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gemert have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Blauw GeelWHUDI '191–0
UDI '191–0LATOGB1–3
TOGB1–3LHPoortugaal1–3
Poortugaal1–3WAVvsb2–0
Vvsb2–0DHUNA1–1
UNA1–1LAExcelsior Maassluis0–1
Excelsior Maassluis0–1–AZwaluwen14/11
Zwaluwen14/11–HGroene Ster22/11
Groene Ster22/11–AEVV29/11
EVV29/11GemertWHExcelsior Maassluis3–1
Excelsior Maassluis3–1DARoosendaal0–0
Roosendaal0–0WHAchilles Veen2–0
Achilles Veen2–0LANoordwijk0–4
Noordwijk0–4LHFC Lisse0–2
FC Lisse0–2WAGroene Ster2–1
Groene Ster2–1–AVvsb14/11
Vvsb14/11–HTOGB22/11
TOGB22/11–AZwaluwen28/11
Zwaluwen28/11Top Scorers
Blauw GeelB. van de Nieuwenhof1 ⚽
GemertD. van Diepen2 ⚽
M. Bolhuis1 ⚽
R. Kemper1 ⚽
Cards Given
Blauw GeelGemertM. Bolhuis3 🟨
B. Achten1 🟨
T. Janssen1 🟨