Le Messager Ngozi vs Young Star — Ligue A
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Le Messager Ngozi and Young Star meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Young Star have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.63 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.76 for Young Star. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 62% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Young Star win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziYoung StarHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Young Star | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 50% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Young Star | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 50% | 75% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Young Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 33% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Young Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 100% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1
Aigle Noir2–2
Musongati0–1Young Star (A)Muzinga1–1
Rukinzo0–7Aigle Noir1–2
Ngozi City0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Aigle Noir | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Olympic Star | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Ngozi City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Rukinzo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Bumamuru | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Musongati | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Vital'O | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 |  Flambeau du Centre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Inter Star | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Never Give Up Academy | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Kayanza United | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Young Star | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 2 home matches.
Young Star- ●Young Star have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerFlambeau du Centre1–0Musongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Muzinga2–1Bumamuru1–0Young Star25/10Vital'O30/10Ngozi City04/11Young StarNever Give Up Academy2–0Muzinga1–1Bumamuru0–3Rukinzo0–7Royal Vision1–5Aigle Noir1–2Le Messager Ngozi25/10Panthere Noir30/10Musongati04/11