Le Messager Ngozi vs Ngozi City — Ligue A
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Le Messager Ngozi and Ngozi City meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Ngozi City have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.92 for Ngozi City. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ngozi City win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziNgozi CityHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Ngozi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 67% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Ngozi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Ngozi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Ngozi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 100% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1
Aigle Noir2–2
Musongati0–1Ngozi City (A)Aigle Noir1–2
Vital'O1–2
Olympic Star0–4
Rukinzo2–4
Kayanza United0–0
Dynamik3–1Head to Head · 6 matches
Le Messager NgoziNgozi CityNgozi CityLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziNgozi City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 19 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 5 | Musongati | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympic Star | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 | Ngozi City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 8 |
| 9 | Vital'O | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bumamuru | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Flambeau du Centre | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Never Give Up Academy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Kayanza United | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Inter Star | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 |  Young Star | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -17 | 2 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 2 home matches.
Ngozi City- ●Ngozi City have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●100% of Ngozi City's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerMusongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Muzinga2–1Bumamuru1–0Flambeau du Centre18/10Young Star25/10Vital'O30/10Ngozi CityRoyal Vision0–5Aigle Noir1–2Kayanza United1–0Inter Star2–1Vital'O1–2Young Star2–0Bumamuru18/10Muzinga23/10Never Give Up Academy01/11