Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir — Ligue A
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Le Messager Ngozi and Aigle Noir meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Aigle Noir have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.97 for Aigle Noir. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Aigle Noir win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziAigle NoirHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Aigle Noir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 50% | 0% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Aigle Noir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Aigle Noir | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 33% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 33% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Aigle Noir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 100% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1Aigle Noir2–2
Musongati0–1Aigle Noir (A)
Kayanza United1–1
Vital'O2–3
Al Hilal Omdurman0–1
Flambeau du Centre1–1Royal Vision1–2Le Messager Ngozi2–2Head to Head · 14 matches
Aigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Aigle Noir | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Olympic Star | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Ngozi City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Rukinzo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Bumamuru | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Musongati | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Vital'O | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Flambeau du Centre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Inter Star | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Never Give Up Academy | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Kayanza United | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  Young Star | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 2 home matches.
Aigle Noir- ●Aigle Noir have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aigle Noir failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Aigle Noir have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Aigle Noir have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aigle Noir have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Aigle Noir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Aigle Noir's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerFlambeau du Centre1–0Musongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Muzinga2–1Bumamuru1–0Young Star25/10Vital'O30/10Ngozi City04/11Aigle NoirRoyal Vision1–1Kayanza United1–1Ngozi City2–1Vital'O2–3Young Star2–1Flambeau du Centre1–1Rukinzo24/10Bumamuru31/10Muzinga03/11