Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo — Ligue A
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Le Messager Ngozi and Rukinzo meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 63% of games. Rukinzo have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.89 for Rukinzo. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 39% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Rukinzo win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziRukinzoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Rukinzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 60% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 40% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Rukinzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 40% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 40% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 63% | 67% | 60% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Rukinzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Rukinzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Young Star1–0
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1
Aigle Noir2–2Rukinzo (A)Royal Vision0–1
Kayanza United3–1
Durban City0–1
Musongati0–0
Bumamuru4–0Inter Star2–2Head to Head · 14 matches
Le Messager NgoziRukinzoRukinzoLe Messager NgoziRukinzoLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziRukinzoRukinzoLe Messager NgoziRukinzoLe Messager NgoziRukinzoLe Messager Ngozi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 24 |
| 3 | Le Messager Ngozi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 4 | Rukinzo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 5 |  Olympic Star | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Musongati | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bumamuru | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Aigle Noir | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Ngozi City | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Vital'O | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 |  Never Give Up Academy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Flambeau du Centre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Inter Star | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Kayanza United | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Young Star | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Rukinzo- ●Rukinzo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rukinzo have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●77% of Rukinzo's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerVital'O0–2Young Star1–0Flambeau du Centre1–0Musongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Kayanza United08/11Ngozi City15/11Aigle Noir22/11RukinzoRoyal Vision0–1Aigle Noir1–0Kayanza United3–1Young Star7–0Olympic Star0–0Musongati0–0Inter Star04/11Bumamuru07/11Flambeau du Centre14/11Top Scorers
Le MessagerRukinzo