Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Stoke City U21 and Chelsea U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Stoke City U21 have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chelsea U21 have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 2.29 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Stoke City U21 and 1.75 for Chelsea U21. The models give Stoke City U21 a 38% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Chelsea U21 win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Stoke City U21—
Chelsea U2117º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
1.75
Goals / game
3.25
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
86%
33%
Clean sheet %
14%
67%
Over 2.5 %
86%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
12.0
0.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Stoke City U21
Home (2)
—
Chelsea U21
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.50
40%
BTTS %
100%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
4.0
0.0
Avg shots
8.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Chelsea U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 43% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 60% | 0% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 20% | 0% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 40% | 57% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Chelsea U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 20% | 57% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 29% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | Chelsea U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS | 33% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 86% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | Chelsea U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 58% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Stoke City (H)D
Charlton Athletic U212–2
Charlton Athletic U212–2L
Borussia M'gladbach II0–2
Borussia M'gladbach II0–2W
Wolves U214–0
Wolves U214–0L
Brentford U212–3
Brentford U212–3D
Leeds United U210–0
Leeds United U210–0L
Peterborough United U211–3
Peterborough United U211–3Chelsea U21 (A)L
Wycombe1–2
Wycombe1–2W
Arsenal U214–1
Arsenal U214–1D
Bristol Rovers2–2
Bristol Rovers2–2L
AFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2L
Fulham U211–2
Fulham U211–2WWolves U214–0
Wolves U214–0Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | Chelsea U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Stoke City
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Chelsea U21
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
27/09/25Stoke City U21
Chelsea U21
1–2Stoke City U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Norwich City U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 26 |  Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Stoke City—
Chelsea U21- ●Chelsea U21 have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●62% of Chelsea U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Stoke CityLAAFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2WHWolves U214–0
Wolves U214–0DANorwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0LHBrentford U212–3
Brentford U212–3–HChelsea U2116/10
Chelsea U2116/10–AManchester City U2123/10
Manchester City U2123/10–HFulham U2106/11
Fulham U2106/11Chelsea U21WHFulham U213–1
Fulham U213–1WAArsenal U214–1
Arsenal U214–1WHWest Ham United U215–4
West Ham United U215–4LAAFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2–AStoke City U2116/10
Stoke City U2116/10–HLiverpool U2124/10
Liverpool U2124/10–ATottenham Hotspur U2108/11
Tottenham Hotspur U2108/11Top Scorers
Stoke CityA. Walker2 ⚽
A. Ampah2 ⚽
T. Martin2 ⚽
P. Makavore1 ⚽
G. Kelly1 ⚽
C. Chibueze1 ⚽
Chelsea U21R. Watson5 ⚽
C. Ezenwata3 ⚽
H. Bettoni3 ⚽
L. Black2 ⚽
Harrison Bettoni2 ⚽
Justin Osagie1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stoke CityG. Morrison4 🟨
G. Kelly3 🟨
J. Mears2 🟨
F. Poole1 🟨
F. Anderson1 🟨
A. Dauda1 🟨
Chelsea U21A. Osborne1 🟨
C. Ezenwata1 🟨
Chizaram Ezenwata1 🟨
D. Waite1 🟨
H. Bettoni1 🟨
Justin Osagie1 🟨