Brighton U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Brighton U21 and AFC Bournemouth U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Brighton U21 have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. AFC Bournemouth U21 have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 2.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.31 for Brighton U21 and 1.46 for AFC Bournemouth U21. The models give Brighton U21 a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an AFC Bournemouth U21 win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Brighton U21—
AFC Bournemouth U2119º
Position
6º
1.00
PPG
2.25
25%
Win %
75%
1.75
Goals / game
2.00
2.25
Conceded / game
1.50
70%
BTTS %
88%
30%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
88%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
15.0
Avg fouls
0.0
63.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Brighton U21
Home (2)
—
AFC Bournemouth U21
Away (1)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.50
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.00
60%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
67%
2.0
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
63.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Brighton U21 | Home | Away | AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 20% | 63% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Brighton U21 | Home | Away | AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 88% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Brighton U21 | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS | 70% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 88% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Brighton U21 | AFC Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 0% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Brighton U21 (H)W
Sheffield United U212–1
Sheffield United U212–1W
Paris Saint-Germain U212–1
Paris Saint-Germain U212–1W
Leicester City U213–0
Leicester City U213–0D
Arsenal U212–2
Arsenal U212–2W
Millwall U212–0
Millwall U212–0W
Manchester United U211–0
Manchester United U211–0AFC Bournemouth (A)L
Southampton U211–3
Southampton U211–3WLeicester City U211–0
Leicester City U211–0L
Cardiff City U211–4
Cardiff City U211–4L
Huddersfield Town U211–4
Huddersfield Town U211–4W
Hull City U214–0
Hull City U214–0L
Queens Park Rangers U212–5
Queens Park Rangers U212–5Team Corners
| Team Corners | Brighton U21 | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 8.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Brighton U21
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
AFC Bournemouth
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
26/11/22Brighton U21
AFC Bournemouth U21
0–2Brighton U2117/08/22AFC Bournemouth U21
Brighton U21
0–3AFC Bournemouth U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 |  Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 |  Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Norwich City U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 |  Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 26 |  Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 29 | Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 31 |  Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Brighton U21- ●Brighton U21 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●78% of Brighton U21's goals conceded were conceded away.
AFC Bournemouth- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●88% of AFC Bournemouth U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of AFC Bournemouth U21's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Brighton U21LALiverpool U211–5
Liverpool U211–5WHLeicester City U213–0
Leicester City U213–0DHArsenal U212–2
Arsenal U212–2LAAston Villa U211–2
Aston Villa U211–2–HAFC Bournemouth U2118/10
AFC Bournemouth U2118/10–AFulham U2123/10
Fulham U2123/10–HSouthampton U2129/11
Southampton U2129/11AFC BournemouthWHStoke City U212–1
Stoke City U212–1LASouthampton U211–3
Southampton U211–3WHMiddlesbrough U213–1
Middlesbrough U213–1WHChelsea U212–1
Chelsea U212–1–ABrighton U2118/10
Brighton U2118/10–HBrentford U2126/10
Brentford U2126/10–ALeeds United U2107/11
Leeds United U2107/11Top Scorers
Brighton U21Y. Ibrahim5 ⚽
T. Silsby4 ⚽
V. Joseph2 ⚽
G. Munday1 ⚽
A. Brett1 ⚽
M. O'Mahony1 ⚽
AFC BournemouthJ. Day4 ⚽
E. Nyarko4 ⚽
E. Sills2 ⚽
D. Ndimukum2 ⚽
H. William2 ⚽
G. Chubinidze1 ⚽
Cards Given
Brighton U21S. Keogh3 🟨
A. Brett1 🟨
B. Barclay1 🟨
J. Robertson1 🟨
M. O'Mahony1 🟨
Y. Ibrahim1 🟨
AFC BournemouthE. Nyarko2 🟨
B. Winterburn2 🟨
A. Ali2 🟨
1 🟨
J. Day1 🟨
A. Solanke1 🟨