Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Birmingham City U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 19 October 2026. Birmingham City U21 have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Derby County U21 have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Birmingham City U21 and 1.61 for Derby County U21. The models give Birmingham City U21 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Derby County U21 win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham City U21Derby County U21Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Birmingham City | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 0% | 83% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 0% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 100% | 17% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham City | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 0% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 0% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 100% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham City | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS | 57% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 88% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham City | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 75% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham City (H)
Arsenal U210–0
Ipswich Town U210–3
Everton U211–1
Manchester City U211–5
Chelsea U211–4
Manchester United U211–1Derby County (A)
Burnley U211–4
Gateshead3–1
Reading U213–1
FC Halifax Town2–6
Brentford U210–2Reading U211–4Head to Head · 1 matches
Birmingham City U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Sunderland U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 |  Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Norwich City U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 |  Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 | Arsenal U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 | Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 26 | Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 31 |  Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Birmingham City- ●Birmingham City U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
Birmingham CityArsenal U210–0Norwich City U212–4Tottenham Hotspur U213–3Derby County U2119/10Ipswich Town U2123/10West Ham United U2106/11Derby CountyBurnley U211–4Tottenham Hotspur U211–3West Bromwich Albion U214–4Reading U213–1Birmingham City U2119/10Norwich City U2126/10Middlesbrough U2109/11Top Scorers
Birmingham CityDerby CountyCards Given
Birmingham CityDerby County