Aston Villa U21 vs Leeds United U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Aston Villa U21 and Leeds United U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Aston Villa U21 have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Leeds United U21 have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Aston Villa U21 and 1.81 for Leeds United U21. The models give Aston Villa U21 a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Leeds United U21 win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa U21—
Leeds United U2116º
Position
10º
1.25
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
1.75
Goals / game
2.75
2.00
Conceded / game
2.25
78%
BTTS %
64%
0%
Clean sheet %
18%
89%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.5
Avg corners
8.0
12.5
Avg shots
20.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
11.0
Avg fouls
6.0
53.0%
Avg possession
52.0%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa U21
Home (3)
—
Leeds United U21
Away (2)
1.33
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
2.50
1.67
Conceded / game
3.00
60%
BTTS %
63%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.5
Avg corners
8.0
12.5
Avg shots
20.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
7.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
53.0%
Avg possession
52.0%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 60% | 100% | 73% | 100% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 64% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 45% | 67% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 40% | 0% | 27% | 0% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 55% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 75% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 45% |
| BTTS | 78% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)D
Middlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2W
Real Sociedad II5–1
Real Sociedad II5–1L
Brondby U210–4
Brondby U210–4L
Crystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2W
Brighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1L
Manchester City U212–3
Manchester City U212–3Leeds United (A)L
Tamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1W
Barnsley4–3
Barnsley4–3DMiddlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4W
Solihull Moors3–2
Solihull Moors3–2L
Charlton Athletic U210–1
Charlton Athletic U210–1L
Liverpool U211–2
Liverpool U211–2Number of Corners
12.0
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
15.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Aston Villa | Leeds United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 13 | 50% | 100% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 8.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
0
Aston Villa
0%
1
Draws
20%
4
Leeds United
80%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
15/08/25Leeds United U21
Aston Villa U21
0–3Leeds United U2123/08/24Aston Villa U21
Leeds United U21
1–1Aston Villa U2108/05/23Aston Villa U21
Leeds United U21
2–1Aston Villa U2120/02/23Aston Villa U21
Leeds United U21
2–1Aston Villa U2119/08/22Leeds United U21
Aston Villa U21
1–2Leeds United U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Sunderland U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 |  Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 5 |  Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Norwich City U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 |  Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 |  Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Arsenal U21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 26 |  Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 31 |  Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aston Villa U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Leeds United- ●Leeds United U21 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of Leeds United U21's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Leeds United U21's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaDHMiddlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2DAFulham U213–3
Fulham U213–3LHCrystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2WHBrighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1–ABurnley U2117/10
Burnley U2117/10–HLeeds United U2126/10
Leeds United U2126/10–AArsenal U2108/11
Arsenal U2108/11Leeds UnitedWHNewcastle United U212–0
Newcastle United U212–0DAMiddlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4LALiverpool U211–2
Liverpool U211–2WHWest Bromwich Albion U214–3
West Bromwich Albion U214–3–HCrystal Palace U2118/10
Crystal Palace U2118/10–AAston Villa U2126/10
Aston Villa U2126/10–HAFC Bournemouth U2107/11
AFC Bournemouth U2107/11Top Scorers
Aston VillaJ. Blake3 ⚽
J. McGrath2 ⚽
2 ⚽
O. Johnson2 ⚽
R. Wilson2 ⚽
max jenner1 ⚽
Leeds UnitedC. Njinko8 ⚽
F. Lane4 ⚽
J. McDonald3 ⚽
Callum Mills3 ⚽
H. Vincent2 ⚽
S. Chambers1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaL. Routh3 🟨
W. Burgess3 🟨
K. Quinn1 🟨
B. Broggio1 🟨
O. Johnson1 🟨
R. Wilson1 🟨
Leeds UnitedL. Philpott3 🟨
F. Lane2 🟨
J. Howson1 🟨
J. Lienou1 🟨
Luke Matykiewicz1 🟨
R. Chadwick-Chaplin1 🟨