Aston Villa U21 vs Newcastle United U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Aston Villa U21 and Newcastle United U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 8 January 2027. Aston Villa U21 have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Newcastle United U21 have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Aston Villa U21 and 1.65 for Newcastle United U21. The models give Aston Villa U21 a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Newcastle United U21 win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa U21—
Newcastle United U2116º
Position
27º
1.60
PPG
0.75
40%
Win %
25%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.60
Conceded / game
2.75
73%
BTTS %
69%
9%
Clean sheet %
15%
82%
Over 2.5 %
77%
4.3
Avg corners
1.3
11.0
Avg shots
7.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.0
Avg fouls
15.3
50.0%
Avg possession
38.0%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa U21
Home (3)
—
Newcastle United U21
Away (1)
1.33
PPG
0.00
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.3
Avg corners
1.3
11.0
Avg shots
7.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
50.0%
Avg possession
38.0%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 60% | 100% | 85% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 60% | 67% | 46% | 60% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 20% | 17% | 31% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 40% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 85% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 60% | 67% | 62% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 20% | 67% | 23% | 40% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 23% |
| BTTS | 73% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 69% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)D
Middlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2W
Real Sociedad II5–1
Real Sociedad II5–1L
Brondby U210–4
Brondby U210–4L
Crystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2W
Brighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1L
Manchester City U212–3
Manchester City U212–3Newcastle United (A)W
Rotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0W
Hartlepool2–1
Hartlepool2–1L
Solihull Moors1–2
Solihull Moors1–2L
Bradford1–2
Bradford1–2L
Leeds United U210–2
Leeds United U210–2W
York3–1
York3–1Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.3
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Aston Villa | Newcastle United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 33% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 33% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 33% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 33% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 33% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 33% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Aston Villa
40%
0
Draws
0%
3
Newcastle United
60%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
06/02/26Newcastle United U21
Aston Villa U21
3–4Newcastle United U2105/10/24Newcastle United U21
Aston Villa U21
2–3Newcastle United U2129/04/24Aston Villa U21
Newcastle United U21
0–1Aston Villa U2109/01/23Aston Villa U21
Newcastle United U21
0–2Aston Villa U2114/10/22Newcastle United U21
Aston Villa U21
1–2Newcastle United U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa- ●Aston Villa U21 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Newcastle United- ●Newcastle United U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●82% of Newcastle United U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaWABurnley U211–0
Burnley U211–0DHMiddlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2DAFulham U213–3
Fulham U213–3LHCrystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2WHBrighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1–HLeeds United U2126/10
Leeds United U2126/10–AArsenal U2108/11
Arsenal U2108/11–ALeicester City U2130/11
Leicester City U2130/11Newcastle UnitedWHSunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2LALeeds United U210–2
Leeds United U210–2LHFulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3–AWest Bromwich Albion U2112/09
West Bromwich Albion U2112/09–HManchester City U2118/10
Manchester City U2118/10–AReading U2106/11
Reading U2106/11Top Scorers
Aston VillaJ. Blake3 ⚽
O. Johnson2 ⚽
R. Wilson2 ⚽
J. McGrath2 ⚽
M. Meade2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Newcastle UnitedV. Salia3 ⚽
Kyran Thompson2 ⚽
A. Ca2 ⚽
K. Thompson2 ⚽
J. Koussou1 ⚽
Afner Bernardinho Cá1 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaL. Routh4 🟨
W. Burgess4 🟨
Leon Routh2 🟨
O. Johnson1 🟨
R. Wilson1 🟨
T. Carroll1 🟨
Newcastle UnitedS. Bailey4 🟨
M. Ferreira2 🟨
D. Charlton1 🟨
G. Mair1 🟨
H. Johnson1 🟨
Dylan Charlton1 🟨