Manchester United U21 vs Stoke City U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Manchester United U21 and Stoke City U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 10 January 2027. Manchester United U21 have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Stoke City U21 have won 12% of their 17 matches, with 1.12 goals scored and 2.35 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.60 for Manchester United U21 and 1.52 for Stoke City U21. The models give Manchester United U21 a 65% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Stoke City U21 win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Manchester United U21—
Stoke City U2111º
Position
23º
2.25
PPG
0.67
75%
Win %
17%
3.50
Goals / game
1.83
1.50
Conceded / game
1.83
67%
BTTS %
47%
17%
Clean sheet %
24%
83%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Manchester United U21
Home (3)
—
Stoke City U21
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
0.33
100%
Win %
0%
4.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
75%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
100%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 50% | 61% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 43% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 0% | 11% | 14% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 50% | 39% | 43% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Manchester United | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 100% | 78% | 71% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 78% | 71% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 25% | 50% | 44% | 14% | 64% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 0% | 22% | 29% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Manchester United | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 83% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 83% | 22% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Manchester United | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 83% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 83% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Manchester United (H)L
Monaco U212–3
Monaco U212–3W
Brentford U213–2
Brentford U213–2W
Leicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1W
Ipswich Town U215–0
Ipswich Town U215–0W
Sunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2L
Newcastle United U211–3
Newcastle United U211–3Stoke City (A)L
Gateshead1–3
Gateshead1–3D
Leeds United U212–2
Leeds United U212–2L
Manchester City U213–4
Manchester City U213–4L
FC Halifax Town2–4
FC Halifax Town2–4L
AFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2L
Wealdstone0–6
Wealdstone0–6Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Manchester United
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Stoke City
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
23/08/24Stoke City U21
Manchester United U21
4–1Stoke City U2126/08/23Stoke City U21
Manchester United U21
10–1Stoke City U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 |  Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Manchester United- ●Manchester United U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Manchester United U21 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●86% of Manchester United U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Manchester United U21's points have been earned at home.
Stoke City- ●Stoke City U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Stoke City U21 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Stoke City U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Manchester UnitedLANottingham Forest U212–3
Nottingham Forest U212–3WHBrentford U213–2
Brentford U213–2WHLeicester City U214–1
Leicester City U214–1WHIpswich Town U215–0
Ipswich Town U215–0–ABurnley U2108/11
Burnley U2108/11–HCrystal Palace U2129/11
Crystal Palace U2129/11–AAston Villa U2112/12
Aston Villa U2112/12Stoke CityLAManchester City U213–4
Manchester City U213–4LHChelsea U211–2
Chelsea U211–2LAAFC Bournemouth U211–2
AFC Bournemouth U211–2WHWolves U214–0
Wolves U214–0DANorwich City U210–0
Norwich City U210–0LHBrentford U212–3
Brentford U212–3–HFulham U2106/11
Fulham U2106/11–ASunderland U2130/11
Sunderland U2130/11–ASouthampton U2112/12
Southampton U2112/12Top Scorers
Manchester UnitedJ. Gabriel3 ⚽
S. Lacey2 ⚽
D. Armer2 ⚽
J. Kamason2 ⚽
V. Musa1 ⚽
A. Ibragimov1 ⚽
Stoke CityT. Martin3 ⚽
L. Bradbury2 ⚽
E. Fearn2 ⚽
A. Walker2 ⚽
A. Ampah2 ⚽
P. Makavore1 ⚽
Cards Given
Manchester UnitedJ. Thwaites2 🟨
C. Byrne-Hughes1 🟨
E. Kana-Biyik1 🟨
H. Amass1 🟨
J. Fletcher1 🟨
R. Munro1 🟨
Stoke CityG. Morrison4 🟨
G. Kelly3 🟨
A. Dauda2 🟨
J. Mears2 🟨
E. Fearn1 🟨
F. Poole1 🟨