AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
AFC Bournemouth U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 15 January 2027. AFC Bournemouth U21 have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Derby County U21 have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 3.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 88%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.38 for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 1.54 for Derby County U21. The models give AFC Bournemouth U21 a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Derby County U21 win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
AFC Bournemouth U21Derby County U21Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| AFC Bournemouth | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AFC Bournemouth | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 50% |
| BTTS | 86% | 88% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 86% | 88% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AFC Bournemouth | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 75% |
Recent Venue Form
AFC Bournemouth (H)
Stoke City U212–1
Middlesbrough U213–1
Chelsea U212–1
Worthing2–2
Wolves U211–0
Crewe Alexandra U213–2Derby County (A)
Burnley U211–4
Gateshead3–1
Reading U213–1
FC Halifax Town2–6
Brentford U210–2Reading U211–4Head to Head · 4 matches
Derby County U21AFC Bournemouth U21AFC Bournemouth U21Derby County U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Manchester United U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Sunderland U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Liverpool U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 |  Leeds United U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 | Reading U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Norwich City U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 | Brentford U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Everton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Derby County U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 23 |  Arsenal U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 25 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 26 |  Birmingham City U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 28 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Leicester City U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 30 |  Newcastle United U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| 31 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Team Insights
AFC Bournemouth- ●AFC Bournemouth U21 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●88% of AFC Bournemouth U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of AFC Bournemouth U21's points have been earned at home.
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
AFC BournemouthStoke City U212–1Southampton U211–3Middlesbrough U213–1Chelsea U212–1Brighton U2118/10Brentford U2126/10Leeds United U2107/11Derby CountyBurnley U211–4Tottenham Hotspur U211–3West Bromwich Albion U214–4Reading U213–1Birmingham City U2119/10Norwich City U2126/10Middlesbrough U2109/11Top Scorers
AFC BournemouthDerby CountyCards Given
AFC BournemouthDerby County