Liverpool U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Liverpool U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 24 January 2027. Liverpool U21 have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Derby County U21 have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 87%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Liverpool U21 and 1.68 for Derby County U21. The models give Liverpool U21 a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Derby County U21 win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Liverpool U21—
Derby County U217º
Position
18º
1.83
PPG
1.14
50%
Win %
29%
1.83
Goals / game
2.43
1.00
Conceded / game
2.43
60%
BTTS %
80%
10%
Clean sheet %
7%
60%
Over 2.5 %
87%
5.7
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.3
Avg fouls
0.0
48.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Liverpool U21
Home (3)
—
Derby County U21
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.75
100%
Win %
50%
2.67
Goals / game
2.25
0.67
Conceded / game
1.50
75%
BTTS %
80%
25%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.7
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.7
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
48.3%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Liverpool U21 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 50% | 87% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 33% | 60% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 17% | 33% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 20% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Liverpool U21 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 93% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 53% | 100% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Liverpool U21 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 40% |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 73% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Liverpool U21 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 87% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Liverpool U21 (H)W
Reading U211–0
Reading U211–0W
Brighton U215–1
Brighton U215–1W
Leeds United U212–1
Leeds United U212–1L
Cardiff City U213–4
Cardiff City U213–4D
Crystal Palace U212–2
Crystal Palace U212–2LCrystal Palace U211–5
Crystal Palace U211–5Derby County (A)D
Middlesbrough U211–1
Middlesbrough U211–1D
Wealdstone2–2
Wealdstone2–2L
Hull City U210–1
Hull City U210–1W
Birmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0D
Scunthorpe2–2
Scunthorpe2–2L
Brentford U212–4
Brentford U212–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Liverpool U21 | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Liverpool U21
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Derby County
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
21/09/24Derby County U21
Liverpool U21
3–1Derby County U2118/08/23Liverpool U21
Derby County U21
1–1Liverpool U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southampton U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Chelsea U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Norwich City U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Manchester United U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 10 | Leeds United U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 | Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 |  Aston Villa U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Arsenal U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wolves U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 |  Leicester City U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 26 |  Stoke City U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 27 |  Burnley U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 28 |  Newcastle United U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 | Birmingham City U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Liverpool U21- ●Liverpool U21 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Liverpool U21 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●73% of Liverpool U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●82% of Liverpool U21's points have been earned at home.
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●65% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Liverpool U21DAChelsea U212–2
Chelsea U212–2WHReading U211–0
Reading U211–0WHBrighton U215–1
Brighton U215–1LAWest Ham United U210–1
West Ham United U210–1WHLeeds United U212–1
Leeds United U212–1DAEverton U211–1
Everton U211–1–HBirmingham City U2128/11
Birmingham City U2128/11–HAston Villa U2119/12
Aston Villa U2119/12–AManchester City U2111/01
Manchester City U2111/01Derby CountyDAMiddlesbrough U211–1
Middlesbrough U211–1LHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12–AWolves U2121/12
Wolves U2121/12Top Scorers
Liverpool U21W. Wright7 ⚽
J. Sonni-Lambie2 ⚽
B. Trueman2 ⚽
Joe Bradshaw1 ⚽
Joshua Sonni-Lambie1 ⚽
Luke Chambers1 ⚽
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu10 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Smith2 ⚽
S. Corry2 ⚽
Cards Given
Liverpool U21W. Wright3 🟨
2 🟨
W. Lucky2 🟨
J. Bradshaw1 🟨
James McConnell1 🟨
J. Upton1 🟨
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
F. Jones3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨