Newcastle United U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Newcastle United U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 22 February 2027. Newcastle United U21 have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Derby County U21 have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 2.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 77%, Over 2.5 at 92%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Newcastle United U21 and 2.16 for Derby County U21. The models give Newcastle United U21 a 40% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Derby County U21 win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Newcastle United U21—
Derby County U2127º
Position
18º
0.75
PPG
1.17
25%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
2.67
2.75
Conceded / game
2.67
75%
BTTS %
77%
8%
Clean sheet %
8%
83%
Over 2.5 %
92%
1.3
Avg corners
0.0
7.3
Avg shots
0.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
15.3
Avg fouls
0.0
38.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newcastle United U21
Home (3)
—
Derby County U21
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
2.67
3.00
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
88%
1.3
Avg corners
0.0
7.3
Avg shots
0.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
38.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newcastle United | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 80% | 88% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 60% | 38% | 64% | 40% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 40% | 25% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Newcastle United | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 80% | 88% | 93% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 60% | 63% | 71% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 40% | 13% | 57% | 100% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newcastle United | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 43% |
| BTTS | 69% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newcastle United | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 71% |
Recent Venue Form
Newcastle United (H)W
Peterborough United U212–0
Peterborough United U212–0W
Sunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2W
Luton Town U214–1
Luton Town U214–1L
Fulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3D
Wolves U211–1
Wolves U211–1Derby County (A)D
Wealdstone2–2
Wealdstone2–2L
Hull City U210–1
Hull City U210–1W
Birmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0D
Scunthorpe2–2
Scunthorpe2–2L
Brentford U212–4
Brentford U212–4L
Burnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newcastle United | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Newcastle United
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Derby County
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
30/08/24Newcastle United U21
Derby County U21
1–0Newcastle United U2124/04/23Newcastle United U21
Derby County U21
1–4Newcastle United U2126/08/22Derby County U21
Newcastle United U21
4–0Derby County U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 2 |  Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |  Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |  Norwich City U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby County U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 19 |  Leeds United U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 20 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 22 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Leicester City U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 25 |  Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 3 |
| 29 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham City U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 | 2 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Newcastle United- ●Newcastle United U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●82% of Newcastle United U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Derby County- ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●69% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●86% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U21 have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Newcastle UnitedWHSunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2LALeeds United U210–2
Leeds United U210–2LHFulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3–AWest Bromwich Albion U2112/09
West Bromwich Albion U2112/09–HManchester City U2118/10
Manchester City U2118/10–AReading U2106/11
Reading U2106/11Derby CountyLHNorwich City U213–4
Norwich City U213–4WABirmingham City U214–0
Birmingham City U214–0LABurnley U211–4
Burnley U211–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
West Bromwich Albion U214–4WAReading U213–1
Reading U213–1–AMiddlesbrough U2109/11
Middlesbrough U2109/11–HIpswich Town U2130/11
Ipswich Town U2130/11–HFulham U2114/12
Fulham U2114/12Top Scorers
Newcastle UnitedV. Salia3 ⚽
Kyran Thompson2 ⚽
A. Ca2 ⚽
K. Thompson2 ⚽
J. Koussou1 ⚽
Afner Bernardinho Cá1 ⚽
Derby CountyJ. Oguntolu9 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Smith3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
Z. Marsh2 ⚽
Cards Given
Newcastle UnitedS. Bailey4 🟨
M. Ferreira2 🟨
D. Charlton1 🟨
G. Mair1 🟨
H. Johnson1 🟨
Dylan Charlton1 🟨
Derby CountyI. Gordon4 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨
F. Jones2 🟨