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Arsenal U21 vs Derby County U21 — Premier League 2 Division One

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England · Premier League 2 Division One · Regular Season
Arsenal U21
Arsenal U21
21º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 117d 5h
vs
–
–
Derby County U21
Derby County U21
18º · 1.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 116d 0h
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Arsenal U21 and Derby County U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 5 March 2027. Arsenal U21 have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Derby County U21 have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 1.93 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 87%, and clean sheets at 7%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Arsenal U21 and 1.97 for Derby County U21. The models give Arsenal U21 a 44% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Derby County U21 win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 77% and BTTS at 75%.

Season Statistics

Arsenal U21
—
Derby County U21
21º
Position
18º
1.00
PPG
1.14
14%
Win %
29%
1.71
Goals / game
2.43
2.14
Conceded / game
2.43
91%
BTTS %
80%
9%
Clean sheet %
7%
73%
Over 2.5 %
87%
6.3
Avg corners
0.0
16.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
6.3
Avg fouls
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Arsenal U21
Home (4)
—
Derby County U21
Away (4)
1.25
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
2.25
Goals / game
2.25
2.25
Conceded / game
1.50
100%
BTTS %
80%
0%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
80%
6.3
Avg corners
0.0
16.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.0
52.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Arsenal U21HomeAwayDerby CountyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored91%100%86%87%80%90%
Over 1.5 Scored45%50%43%60%40%70%
Over 2.5 Scored9%25%0%33%40%30%
Failed To Score9%0%14%13%20%10%

Goals Conceded

Arsenal U21HomeAwayDerby CountyHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded91%100%86%93%100%90%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%75%43%67%100%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%25%29%53%100%30%
Clean Sheets9%0%14%7%0%10%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Arsenal U21Derby County
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.591%93%
Over 2.573%87%
Over 3.555%80%
Over 4.536%40%
BTTS91%80%
BTTS & Win27%13%
BTTS & Draw36%27%
BTTS & Over 2.573%73%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Arsenal U21Derby County
Win 1st Half18%20%
Draw 1st Half55%33%
Loss 1st Half27%47%
Scored 1st Half45%47%
Conceded 1st Half55%53%
Win 2nd Half27%40%
Draw 2nd Half36%20%
Loss 2nd Half36%40%
Scored 2nd Half82%60%
Conceded 2nd Half82%87%
Over 0.5 HT64%73%
Over 1.5 HT45%67%

Recent Venue Form

Arsenal U21 (H)
WAston Villa U215–2
DSunderland U212–2
LChelsea U211–4
DCrystal Palace U211–1
WWest Bromwich Albion U211–0
LLeicester City U211–5
Derby County (A)
DMiddlesbrough U211–1
DWealdstone2–2
LHull City U210–1
WBirmingham City U214–0
DScunthorpe2–2
LBrentford U212–4

Team Corners

Team CornersArsenal U21Derby County
Corners Earned / Match6.30.0
Corners Against / Match6.30.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For33%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against67%0%

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Arsenal U21
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Derby County
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
26/09/25
Derby County U21
0–1
Arsenal U21
07/04/25
Arsenal U21
2–2
Derby County U21
Premier League 2 Division One
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Southampton U216510+1116
2Chelsea U217511+816
3Tottenham Hotspur U217511+716
4Fulham U217412+513
5Norwich City U217412+113
6Nottingham Forest U217412013
7Liverpool U216321+511
8Reading U217322+111
9Manchester United U215311+810
10Leeds United U216312+310
11Sunderland U217313+210
12AFC Bournemouth U217313-310
13Everton U216231+29
14Brentford U21730409
15West Ham United U21723209
16Blackburn Rovers U21530209
17Crystal Palace U216222+18
18Derby County U21722308
19Brighton U21622208
20Aston Villa U216222-38
21Arsenal U217142-37
22Manchester City U214202+26
23Ipswich Town U214202+16
24Wolves U215203-76
25Leicester City U216123-55
26Stoke City U217115-34
27Burnley U217115-44
28Newcastle United U215113-74
29Middlesbrough U217034-53
30Birmingham City U216033-113
31West Bromwich Albion U215014-61

Team Insights

Arsenal U21
  • ●Arsenal U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Arsenal U21 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●75% of Arsenal U21's goals have been scored at home.
Derby County
  • ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Derby County U21 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●65% of Derby County U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●88% of Derby County U21's points have been earned away.
Arsenal U21Arsenal U21
WHAston Villa U2120º5–2
WAAFC Wimbledon2–1
LALeicester City U2125º1–4
DHSunderland U2111º2–2
DABirmingham City U2130º0–0
WALeyton Orient2–1
LHChelsea U212º1–4
DABrighton U2119º2–2
DHCrystal Palace U2117º1–1
LABarnet1–5
Derby County U21Derby County U21
DAMiddlesbrough U2129º1–1
DAWealdstone2–2
LAHull City U210–1
LHNorwich City U215º3–4
WABirmingham City U2130º4–0
DAScunthorpe2–2
LABrentford U212–4
LABurnley U2127º1–4
LHTottenham Hotspur U213º1–3
WAGateshead3–1

Season Schedule

Arsenal U21
WHAston Villa U215–2
LALeicester City U211–4
DHSunderland U212–2
DABirmingham City U210–0
LHChelsea U211–4
DABrighton U212–2
–ABlackburn Rovers U2130/11
–HNewcastle United U2113/12
–HManchester City U2120/12
Derby County
DAMiddlesbrough U211–1
LHNorwich City U213–4
WABirmingham City U214–0
LABurnley U211–4
LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
DHWest Bromwich Albion U214–4
–HIpswich Town U2130/11
–HFulham U2114/12
–AWolves U2121/12

Top Scorers

Arsenal U21
J. Scanlon3 ⚽
A. Harriman-Annous2 ⚽
A. Annous2 ⚽
E. Mooney2 ⚽
B. Phillips1 ⚽
C. O'Neill1 ⚽
Derby County
J. Oguntolu10 ⚽
M. Mintus4 ⚽
C. Wilson3 ⚽
J. Davidson3 ⚽
C. Smith2 ⚽
S. Corry2 ⚽

Cards Given

Arsenal U21
E. Upson2 🟨
B. Clarke2 🟨
C. Hamill1 🟨
Callan Hamill1 🟨
Emerson Nwaneri1 🟨
A. Harriman-Annous1 🟨
Derby County
I. Gordon4 🟨
M. Tola3 🟨
C. Smith3 🟨
F. Jones3 🟨
K. Robinson3 🟨
R. Harvey2 🟨