Aston Villa U21 vs Birmingham City U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Aston Villa U21 and Birmingham City U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 5 March 2027. Aston Villa U21 have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 2.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Birmingham City U21 have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Aston Villa U21 and 1.76 for Birmingham City U21. The models give Aston Villa U21 a 55% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Birmingham City U21 win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 75%.
Season Statistics
Aston Villa U21—
Birmingham City U2120º
Position
30º
1.33
PPG
0.50
33%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
1.17
2.17
Conceded / game
3.00
75%
BTTS %
50%
8%
Clean sheet %
14%
83%
Over 2.5 %
86%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
12.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aston Villa U21
Home (3)
—
Birmingham City U21
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
4.00
60%
BTTS %
56%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
80%
Over 2.5 %
89%
4.3
Avg corners
0.0
11.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.3
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
0.0
50.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 60% | 100% | 57% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 71% | 43% | 40% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 14% | 21% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 40% | 0% | 43% | 60% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Aston Villa | Home | Away | Birmingham City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 86% | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 20% | 71% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aston Villa | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 43% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aston Villa | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 58% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 79% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Aston Villa (H)D
Middlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2W
Real Sociedad II5–1
Real Sociedad II5–1L
Brondby U210–4
Brondby U210–4L
Crystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2W
Brighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1L
Manchester City U212–3
Manchester City U212–3Birmingham City (A)L
Woking1–3
Woking1–3L
Ipswich Town U210–5
Ipswich Town U210–5L
Truro City0–3
Truro City0–3W
Gillingham FC U214–0
Gillingham FC U214–0L
Norwich City U212–4
Norwich City U212–4D
Sutton Utd1–1
Sutton Utd1–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aston Villa | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Aston Villa
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Birmingham City
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
30/01/26Aston Villa U21
Birmingham City U21
1–1Aston Villa U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southampton U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |  Chelsea U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Norwich City U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Manchester United U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leeds United U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 19 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Arsenal U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 23 | Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wolves U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 |  Leicester City U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 26 |  Stoke City U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 27 |  Burnley U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 28 |  Newcastle United U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 | Birmingham City U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aston Villa—
Birmingham City- ●Birmingham City U21 have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Birmingham City U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Birmingham City U21 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Birmingham City U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Birmingham City U21's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Birmingham City U21 have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Aston VillaLAArsenal U212–5
Arsenal U212–5WABurnley U211–0
Burnley U211–0DHMiddlesbrough U212–2
Middlesbrough U212–2DAFulham U213–3
Fulham U213–3LHCrystal Palace U210–2
Crystal Palace U210–2WHBrighton U212–1
Brighton U212–1–HLeeds United U2126/10
Leeds United U2126/10–ALeicester City U2130/11
Leicester City U2130/11–HManchester United U2112/12
Manchester United U2112/12Birmingham CityDHWest Ham United U212–2
West Ham United U212–2LAIpswich Town U210–5
Ipswich Town U210–5LHDerby County U210–4
Derby County U210–4DHArsenal U210–0
Arsenal U210–0LANorwich City U212–4
Norwich City U212–4DATottenham Hotspur U213–3
Tottenham Hotspur U213–3–ALiverpool U2128/11
Liverpool U2128/11–HManchester City U2114/12
Manchester City U2114/12–HReading U2121/12
Reading U2121/12Top Scorers
Aston VillaJ. Blake3 ⚽
J. McGrath3 ⚽
R. Wilson2 ⚽
M. Meade2 ⚽
O. Johnson2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Birmingham CityM. Mazwi4 ⚽
T. Ugorji3 ⚽
T. Elmansuri3 ⚽
F. McGreevy2 ⚽
B. Burrell2 ⚽
C. Maddox2 ⚽
Cards Given
Aston VillaW. Burgess5 🟨
L. Routh4 🟨
Leon Routh2 🟨
K. Quinn1 🟨
M. Cotcher1 🟨
C. Brannigan1 🟨
Birmingham CityA. Da Silva3 🟨
D. Martin-Moore2 🟨
S. Bamba2 🟨
C. Maddox2 🟨
B. Campbell1 🟨
C. Chahal1 🟨