Chelsea U21 vs Newcastle United U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Chelsea U21 and Newcastle United U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 5 March 2027. Chelsea U21 have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 2.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 82% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 82%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Newcastle United U21 have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.28 for Chelsea U21 and 1.65 for Newcastle United U21. The models give Chelsea U21 a 57% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Newcastle United U21 win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Chelsea U21—
Newcastle United U212º
Position
28º
2.29
PPG
0.80
71%
Win %
20%
2.86
Goals / game
1.00
1.71
Conceded / game
2.40
82%
BTTS %
67%
18%
Clean sheet %
13%
82%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.0
Avg corners
1.3
12.5
Avg shots
7.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.0
Avg fouls
15.3
46.5%
Avg possession
38.0%
Home vs Away
Chelsea U21
Home (3)
—
Newcastle United U21
Away (2)
2.33
PPG
0.50
67%
Win %
0%
3.33
Goals / game
0.50
2.33
Conceded / game
1.50
75%
BTTS %
70%
25%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.0
Avg corners
1.3
12.5
Avg shots
7.3
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.7
46.5%
Avg possession
38.0%
Goals Scored
| Chelsea U21 | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 75% | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 40% | 60% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 29% | 27% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Chelsea U21 | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 75% | 86% | 87% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 50% | 43% | 53% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 25% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chelsea U21 | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 82% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS | 82% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 82% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chelsea U21 | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Chelsea U21 (H)D
Liverpool U212–2
Liverpool U212–2W
Fulham U213–1
Fulham U213–1W
West Ham United U215–4
West Ham United U215–4D
Cardiff City U210–0
Cardiff City U210–0L
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3W
Middlesbrough U211–0
Middlesbrough U211–0Newcastle United (A)L
Peterborough United U210–1
Peterborough United U210–1D
Reading U211–1
Reading U211–1W
Rotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0W
Hartlepool2–1
Hartlepool2–1L
Solihull Moors1–2
Solihull Moors1–2L
Bradford1–2
Bradford1–2Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
6.3
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Chelsea U21 | Newcastle United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 33% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 33% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 50% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 50% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 50% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Chelsea U21 | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 1.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Chelsea U21
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Newcastle United
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
100%
Over 3.5
3/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
22/08/25Chelsea U21
Newcastle United U21
0–5Chelsea U2116/12/24Chelsea U21
Newcastle United U21
3–2Chelsea U2108/03/24Chelsea U21
Newcastle United U21
1–7Chelsea U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southampton U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Norwich City U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Manchester United U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leeds United U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | West Ham United U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 19 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 |  Aston Villa U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Arsenal U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wolves U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 |  Leicester City U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 26 |  Stoke City U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 27 |  Burnley U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 28 | Newcastle United U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 31 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Chelsea U21- ●Chelsea U21 have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chelsea U21 have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Newcastle United- ●Newcastle United U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●75% of Newcastle United U21's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Chelsea U21WATottenham Hotspur U213–1
Tottenham Hotspur U213–1DHLiverpool U212–2
Liverpool U212–2WAStoke City U212–1
Stoke City U212–1WHFulham U213–1
Fulham U213–1WAArsenal U214–1
Arsenal U214–1WHWest Ham United U215–4
West Ham United U215–4–ANorwich City U2127/11
Norwich City U2127/11–HWolves U2111/12
Wolves U2111/12–ALeicester City U2121/12
Leicester City U2121/12Newcastle UnitedDAReading U211–1
Reading U211–1WHSunderland U213–2
Sunderland U213–2LALeeds United U210–2
Leeds United U210–2LHFulham U210–4
Fulham U210–4LHTottenham Hotspur U211–3
Tottenham Hotspur U211–3–AWest Bromwich Albion U2112/09
West Bromwich Albion U2112/09–HManchester City U2118/10
Manchester City U2118/10–HBrentford U2130/11
Brentford U2130/11Top Scorers
Chelsea U21C. Ezenwata5 ⚽
R. Watson5 ⚽
H. Bettoni3 ⚽
Chizaram Ezenwata3 ⚽
S. Gordon2 ⚽
H. McMahon2 ⚽
Newcastle UnitedV. Salia4 ⚽
Kyran Thompson2 ⚽
A. Ca2 ⚽
K. Thompson2 ⚽
J. Koussou1 ⚽
Afner Bernardinho Cá1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chelsea U214 🟨
H. Bettoni2 🟨
Chizaram Ezenwata1 🟨
D. Waite1 🟨
Harrison Bettoni1 🟨
C. Ezenwata1 🟨
Newcastle UnitedS. Bailey5 🟨
V. Salia3 🟨
D. Charlton2 🟨
M. Ferreira2 🟨
H. Johnson1 🟨
G. Mair1 🟨