Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 — Premier League 2 Division One
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Arsenal U21 and Leeds United U21 meet in the Premier League 2 Division One 2026 season on 12 March 2027. Arsenal U21 have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 91% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Leeds United U21 have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.31 for Arsenal U21 and 1.95 for Leeds United U21. The models give Arsenal U21 a 48% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Leeds United U21 win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 80% and BTTS at 77%.
Season Statistics
Arsenal U21—
Leeds United U2121º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
1.67
14%
Win %
50%
1.71
Goals / game
2.83
2.14
Conceded / game
2.33
91%
BTTS %
75%
9%
Clean sheet %
13%
73%
Over 2.5 %
75%
6.3
Avg corners
7.0
16.0
Avg shots
15.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.5
6.3
Avg fouls
11.0
52.0%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Arsenal U21
Home (4)
—
Leeds United U21
Away (2)
1.25
PPG
0.50
25%
Win %
0%
2.25
Goals / game
2.50
2.25
Conceded / game
3.00
100%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
10%
75%
Over 2.5 %
70%
6.3
Avg corners
7.0
16.0
Avg shots
15.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
0.5
52.0%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Arsenal U21 | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 86% | 81% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 50% | 43% | 63% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 14% | 19% | 0% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Arsenal U21 | Home | Away | Leeds United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 86% | 88% | 83% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 75% | 43% | 63% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 44% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 17% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arsenal U21 | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS | 91% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 73% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arsenal U21 | Leeds United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 19% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 82% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 82% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Arsenal U21 (H)W
Aston Villa U215–2
Aston Villa U215–2D
Sunderland U212–2
Sunderland U212–2L
Chelsea U211–4
Chelsea U211–4D
Crystal Palace U211–1
Crystal Palace U211–1W
West Bromwich Albion U211–0
West Bromwich Albion U211–0L
Leicester City U211–5
Leicester City U211–5Leeds United (A)L
Hartlepool1–3
Hartlepool1–3L
Oldham2–4
Oldham2–4L
Tamworth0–1
Tamworth0–1W
Barnsley4–3
Barnsley4–3D
Middlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4W
Solihull Moors3–2
Solihull Moors3–2Number of Corners
12.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
13.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Arsenal U21 | Leeds United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 100% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 67% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 67% | 50% | — |
| Over 12 | 33% | 50% | — |
| Over 13 | 33% | 50% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arsenal U21 | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Arsenal U21
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Leeds United
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
01/02/26Arsenal U21
Leeds United U21
0–4Arsenal U2109/02/24Leeds United U21
Arsenal U21
1–1Leeds United U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Southampton U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Fulham U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  Norwich City U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 |  Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Manchester United U21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 10 | Leeds United U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Sunderland U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Everton U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Brentford U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  West Ham United U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 18 |  Derby County U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 19 |  Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 20 | Aston Villa U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 | Arsenal U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 |  Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 23 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 24 |  Wolves U21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 6 |
| 25 | Leicester City U21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 26 |  Stoke City U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 27 |  Burnley U21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 28 |  Newcastle United U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 4 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 30 |  Birmingham City U21 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 31 | West Bromwich Albion U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Arsenal U21- ●Arsenal U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arsenal U21 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Arsenal U21's goals have been scored at home.
Leeds United- ●Leeds United U21 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leeds United U21 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of Leeds United U21's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of Leeds United U21's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Arsenal U21WHAston Villa U215–2
Aston Villa U215–2LALeicester City U211–4
Leicester City U211–4DHSunderland U212–2
Sunderland U212–2DABirmingham City U210–0
Birmingham City U210–0LHChelsea U211–4
Chelsea U211–4DABrighton U212–2
Brighton U212–2–ABlackburn Rovers U2130/11
Blackburn Rovers U2130/11–HNewcastle United U2113/12
Newcastle United U2113/12–HManchester City U2120/12
Manchester City U2120/12Leeds UnitedWHAFC Bournemouth U215–1
AFC Bournemouth U215–1LHCrystal Palace U211–4
Crystal Palace U211–4WHNewcastle United U212–0
Newcastle United U212–0DAMiddlesbrough U214–4
Middlesbrough U214–4LALiverpool U211–2
Liverpool U211–2WHWest Bromwich Albion U214–3
West Bromwich Albion U214–3–AAston Villa U2126/10
Aston Villa U2126/10–AEverton U2130/11
Everton U2130/11–HBrentford U2114/12
Brentford U2114/12Top Scorers
Arsenal U21J. Scanlon3 ⚽
A. Harriman-Annous2 ⚽
A. Annous2 ⚽
E. Mooney2 ⚽
B. Phillips1 ⚽
C. O'Neill1 ⚽
Leeds UnitedC. Njinko9 ⚽
F. Lane4 ⚽
Callum Mills4 ⚽
J. McDonald3 ⚽
D. Hodja2 ⚽
A. Cresswell2 ⚽
Cards Given
Arsenal U21E. Upson2 🟨
B. Clarke2 🟨
C. Hamill1 🟨
Callan Hamill1 🟨
Emerson Nwaneri1 🟨
A. Harriman-Annous1 🟨
Leeds UnitedL. Philpott3 🟨
R. Chadwick-Chaplin2 🟨
F. Lane2 🟨
J. Lienou1 🟨
J. Howson1 🟨
J. Howard1 🟨