Derby County U18 vs Newcastle United U18 — U18 Premier League - North
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Derby County U18 and Newcastle United U18 meet in the U18 Premier League - North 2026 season on 23 January 2027. Derby County U18 have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Newcastle United U18 have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 2.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Derby County U18 and 2.55 for Newcastle United U18. The models give Derby County U18 a 26% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Newcastle United U18 win at 52%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 81% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Derby County U18—
Newcastle United U187º
Position
2º
1.25
PPG
2.25
38%
Win %
75%
1.63
Goals / game
2.88
2.38
Conceded / game
1.25
75%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Derby County U18
Home (4)
—
Newcastle United U18
Away (3)
0.25
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
1.25
Goals / game
2.67
3.50
Conceded / game
1.33
75%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Derby County | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby County | Home | Away | Newcastle United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 100% | 25% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby County | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS | 75% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby County | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 63% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 88% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 75% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 88% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby County (H)L
Manchester City U181–5
Manchester City U181–5D
Liverpool U183–3
Liverpool U183–3L
Nottingham Forest U180–2
Nottingham Forest U180–2L
Burnley U181–4
Burnley U181–4WLiverpool U184–3
Liverpool U184–3LBurnley U181–2
Burnley U181–2Newcastle United (A)L
Middlesbrough U181–3
Middlesbrough U181–3W
Sunderland U183–0
Sunderland U183–0W
Leicester City U184–1
Leicester City U184–1WMiddlesbrough U184–0
Middlesbrough U184–0LDerby County U181–3
Derby County U181–3WNottingham Forest U181–0
Nottingham Forest U181–0Head to Head · 13 matches
7
Derby County
54%
1
Draws
8%
5
Newcastle United
38%
92%
Over 1.5
12/13
92%
Over 2.5
12/13
69%
Over 3.5
9/13
69%
BTTS
9/13
15/08/26Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
3–1Derby County U1818/04/26Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
3–1Newcastle United U1829/11/25Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
5–0Derby County U1801/02/25Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
0–3Newcastle United U1824/08/24Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
3–3Derby County U1817/02/24Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
1–2Derby County U1819/08/23Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
5–3Newcastle United U1804/03/23Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
4–1Newcastle United U1815/10/22Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
1–3Derby County U1802/04/22Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
1–0Derby County U1811/09/21Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
0–3Newcastle United U1830/01/21Derby County U18
Newcastle United U18
2–3Derby County U1826/09/20Newcastle United U18
Derby County U18
4–3Newcastle United U18| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +22 | 21 |
| 2 | Newcastle United U18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Manchester United U18 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest U18 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 5 | Burnley U18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough U18 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Derby County U18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 |  Leeds United U18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Sunderland U18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Stoke City U18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 |  Everton U18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Blackburn Rovers U18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -20 | 6 |
| 14 | Leicester City U18 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Wolves U18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derby County- ●Derby County U18 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Derby County U18's goals have been scored away.
- ●74% of Derby County U18's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●90% of Derby County U18's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored 85% of their goals in the first half.
Newcastle United- ●Newcastle United U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●65% of Newcastle United U18's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Derby CountyLHManchester City U181–5
Manchester City U181–5WAWolves U182–1
Wolves U182–1DHLiverpool U183–3
Liverpool U183–3WAStoke City U182–0
Stoke City U182–0LHNottingham Forest U180–2
Nottingham Forest U180–2WAMiddlesbrough U183–1
Middlesbrough U183–1–ALeeds United U1831/10
Leeds United U1831/10–HEverton U1803/11
Everton U1803/11–AManchester United U1821/11
Manchester United U1821/11Newcastle UnitedLAMiddlesbrough U181–3
Middlesbrough U181–3WHBurnley U183–0
Burnley U183–0WASunderland U183–0
Sunderland U183–0LHManchester United U180–2
Manchester United U180–2WALeicester City U184–1
Leicester City U184–1WHBlackburn Rovers U186–1
Blackburn Rovers U186–1–HEverton U1831/10
Everton U1831/10–HLeeds United U1821/11
Leeds United U1821/11–AManchester City U1828/11
Manchester City U1828/11Top Scorers
Derby CountyK. Clarke4 ⚽
T. Olofingbuaro2 ⚽
K. T. Ogedengbe1 ⚽
E. Griffiths1 ⚽
O. Lukic1 ⚽
R. Harvey1 ⚽
Newcastle UnitedA. Hutchison7 ⚽
A. Seldon5 ⚽
J. Skelton3 ⚽
T. Benjamin2 ⚽
N. Morgan2 ⚽
C. Robinson1 ⚽
Cards Given
Derby CountyJ. Connor2 🟨
Newcastle United