Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya — Liga 1
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Arema FC and Persebaya Surabaya meet in the Liga 1 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Arema FC have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Persebaya Surabaya have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Arema FC and 1.06 for Persebaya Surabaya. The models give Arema FC a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Persebaya Surabaya win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Arema FC—
Persebaya Surabaya11º
Position
8º
1.00
PPG
1.80
17%
Win %
40%
2.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.33
Conceded / game
0.80
64%
BTTS %
55%
18%
Clean sheet %
45%
64%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Arema FC
Home (3)
—
Persebaya Surabaya
Away (2)
1.67
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
50%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.50
50%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Arema FC | Home | Away | Persebaya Surabaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 71% | 92% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 75% | 29% | 25% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arema FC | Home | Away | Persebaya Surabaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 50% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 25% | 57% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 0% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 50% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arema FC | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS | 64% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arema FC | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 18% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 82% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 82% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Arema FC (H)D
Bhayangkara FC2–2
Bhayangkara FC2–2D
Persik Kediri1–1
Persik Kediri1–1W
Isenmulang Kalteng4–0
Isenmulang Kalteng4–0W
DPMM FC Brunei2–0
DPMM FC Brunei2–0W
PSIM Yogyakarta3–1
PSIM Yogyakarta3–1W
PSM Makassar3–0
PSM Makassar3–0Persebaya Surabaya (A)LPSM Makassar0–1
PSM Makassar0–1WIsenmulang Kalteng1–0
Isenmulang Kalteng1–0DBhayangkara FC1–1
Bhayangkara FC1–1D
Persib Bandung1–1
Persib Bandung1–1W
Semen Padang7–0
Semen Padang7–0D
Persis Solo0–0
Persis Solo0–0Head to Head · 15 matches
2
Arema FC
13%
3
Draws
20%
10
Persebaya Surabaya
67%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
47%
Over 2.5
7/15
47%
Over 3.5
7/15
47%
BTTS
7/15
04/08/26Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC28/04/26Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
0–4Persebaya Surabaya22/11/25Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–1Arema FC28/04/25Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1–1Persebaya Surabaya07/12/24Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
3–2Arema FC27/03/24Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
0–1Persebaya Surabaya23/09/23Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
3–1Arema FC11/04/23Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC01/10/22Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
2–3Persebaya Surabaya23/02/22Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC06/11/21Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
2–2Persebaya Surabaya12/12/19Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
4–1Arema FC15/08/19Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
4–0Persebaya Surabaya06/10/18Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1–0Persebaya Surabaya06/05/18Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 |  Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 12 |
| 4 |  Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Persepam Madura Utd | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Persib Bandung | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Persebaya Surabaya | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Persik Kediri | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Java United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Pusamania Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 |  Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  PSS Sleman | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 34 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 2 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -43 | 20 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 |  Persijap | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Arema FC- ●Arema FC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Arema FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Arema FC have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arema FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Arema FC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Arema FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arema FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●79% of Arema FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Arema FC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Arema FC have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Arema FC have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Persebaya Surabaya- ●Persebaya Surabaya have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
Arema FCLAPersija1–5
Persija1–5LAGarudayaksa1–3
Garudayaksa1–3DHBhayangkara FC2–2
Bhayangkara FC2–2DHPersik Kediri1–1
Persik Kediri1–1DAPSM Makassar3–3
PSM Makassar3–3WHIsenmulang Kalteng4–0
Isenmulang Kalteng4–0–HDewa United25/10
Dewa United25/10–HBali United31/10
Bali United31/10–APersepam Madura Utd06/11
Persepam Madura Utd06/11Persebaya SurabayaLAPSM Makassar0–1
PSM Makassar0–1DHPSS Sleman2–2
PSS Sleman2–2WAIsenmulang Kalteng1–0
Isenmulang Kalteng1–0DHGarudayaksa1–1
Garudayaksa1–1WHPSIM Yogyakarta1–0
PSIM Yogyakarta1–0DABhayangkara FC1–1
Bhayangkara FC1–1–HPersepam Madura Utd26/10
Persepam Madura Utd26/10–HPersijap30/10
Persijap30/10–APersija07/11
Persija07/11Top Scorers
Arema FCGustavo Henrique4 ⚽
MV2 ⚽
Matheus Blade2 ⚽
Gabriel Silva2 ⚽
M. Zijlstra1 ⚽
S. Tuharea1 ⚽
Persebaya SurabayaM. Pereira4 ⚽
Alex4 ⚽
Y. Mabella3 ⚽
R. Sananta2 ⚽
Y. Fernandes2 ⚽
R. Mitrevski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arema FCBetinho4 🟨
MV4 🟨
A. Dewangga3 🟨
Matheus Blade3 🟨
Careca2 🟨
Diego Landis2 🟨
Persebaya SurabayaJefferson4 🟨
R. Irianto4 🟨
Y. Fernandes3 🟨
R. Sananta2 🟨
T. Firmansyah2 🟨
F. Rivera2 🟨