Persepam Madura Utd vs Bali United — Liga 1
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Persepam Madura Utd and Bali United meet in the Liga 1 2026 season on 8 December 2026. Persepam Madura Utd have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Bali United have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 3.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Persepam Madura Utd and 1.17 for Bali United. The models give Persepam Madura Utd a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Bali United win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Persepam Madura Utd—
Bali United3º
Position
4º
2.11
PPG
2.00
67%
Win %
63%
1.78
Goals / game
2.88
1.11
Conceded / game
1.13
44%
BTTS %
73%
44%
Clean sheet %
18%
56%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Persepam Madura Utd
Home (5)
—
Bali United
Away (4)
2.60
PPG
1.00
80%
Win %
25%
2.20
Goals / game
1.50
0.80
Conceded / game
1.50
40%
BTTS %
83%
60%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Persepam Madura | Home | Away | Bali United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 75% | 91% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 80% | 25% | 82% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 55% | 80% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Persepam Madura | Home | Away | Bali United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 82% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 50% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 60% | 25% | 18% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Persepam Madura | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 55% |
| BTTS | 44% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Persepam Madura | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 73% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 9% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 82% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Persepam Madura (H)W
Arema FC3–0
Arema FC3–0W
Persib Bandung1–0
Persib Bandung1–0D
Bhayangkara FC3–3
Bhayangkara FC3–3W
PSIM Yogyakarta2–1
PSIM Yogyakarta2–1W
Persijap2–0
Persijap2–0W
PSM Makassar2–0
PSM Makassar2–0Bali United (A)W
Persiba Balikpapan6–1
Persiba Balikpapan6–1WArema FC3–1
Arema FC3–1D
Persita1–1
Persita1–1L
Java United2–3
Java United2–3L
Pusamania Borneo0–1
Pusamania Borneo0–1LPersib Bandung2–3
Persib Bandung2–3Head to Head · 18 matches
7
Persepam Madura
39%
2
Draws
11%
9
Bali United
50%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
44%
Over 2.5
8/18
28%
Over 3.5
5/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
05/05/26Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
2–0Bali United30/08/25Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
1–0Persepam Madura Utd17/05/25Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
0–2Persepam Madura Utd20/12/24Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
2–1Bali United24/07/24Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
2–3Persepam Madura Utd23/11/23Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
1–2Bali United15/07/23Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
2–1Persepam Madura Utd16/03/23Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
1–1Persepam Madura Utd12/12/22Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
1–3Bali United21/03/22Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
0–2Bali United09/12/21Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
0–1Persepam Madura Utd15/03/20Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
3–1Persepam Madura Utd22/12/19Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
0–2Persepam Madura Utd20/08/19Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
0–1Bali United03/11/18Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
2–0Persepam Madura Utd03/06/18Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
2–2Bali United13/08/17Persepam Madura Utd
Bali United
5–2Persepam Madura Utd16/04/17Bali United
Persepam Madura Utd
2–0Bali United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Dewa United | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 | Persepam Madura Utd | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Bali United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 16 |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Persita | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 7 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Bhayangkara FC | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Garudayaksa | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Java United | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Persik Kediri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Pusamania Borneo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | PSM Makassar | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Arema FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Isenmulang Kalteng | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 34 |
| 16 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 |  Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -43 | 20 |
| 17 |  PSS Sleman | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 | Persijap | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
Persepam Madura- ●Persepam Madura Utd have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Persepam Madura Utd have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Persepam Madura Utd's goals have been scored at home.
Bali United- ●Bali United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Bali United have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bali United have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bali United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Bali United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●77% of Bali United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Bali United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Bali United's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Persepam MaduraWHArema FC3–0
Arema FC3–0WAPSM Makassar1–0
PSM Makassar1–0LAPersebaya Surabaya1–3
Persebaya Surabaya1–3WHPersib Bandung1–0
Persib Bandung1–0DHBhayangkara FC3–3
Bhayangkara FC3–3LAPersik Kediri0–2
Persik Kediri0–2–AGarudayaksa20/11
Garudayaksa20/11–HJava United28/11
Java United28/11–ADewa United04/12
Dewa United04/12Bali UnitedWHPersik Kediri3–0
Persik Kediri3–0WAArema FC3–1
Arema FC3–1DAPersita1–1
Persita1–1WHGarudayaksa5–0
Garudayaksa5–0LAJava United2–3
Java United2–3WHPersijap6–1
Persijap6–1–APersib Bandung22/11
Persib Bandung22/11–HBhayangkara FC28/11
Bhayangkara FC28/11–HPSM Makassar04/12
PSM Makassar04/12Top Scorers
Persepam MaduraD. Mitkov6 ⚽
Freitas Gali3 ⚽
J. Santacruz3 ⚽
Mendonca2 ⚽
Balotelli1 ⚽
Iran Junior1 ⚽
Bali UnitedT. Yachida7 ⚽
I. Jaya6 ⚽
Queven4 ⚽
J. van der Sande3 ⚽
T. Goppel3 ⚽
J. Raven3 ⚽
Cards Given
Persepam MaduraJaja3 🟨
D. Mitkov2 🟨
P. Monteiro2 🟨
T. Hidayat2 🟨
A. Idrus1 🟨
Mendonca1 🟨
Bali UnitedK. Arel3 🟨
T. Geypens2 🟨
Queven2 🟨
J. Herdman2 🟨
R. Fajrin2 🟨
T. Receveur2 🟨