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Real Calepina vs Leon — Serie D - Girone B

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Italy · Serie D - Girone B · Group B - 15
Real Calepina
Real Calepina
9º · 1.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Leon
Leon
4º · 1.80 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Real Calepina and Leon meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Real Calepina have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Leon have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Real Calepina and 1.50 for Leon. The models give Real Calepina a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Leon win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Real Calepina
—
Leon
9º
Position
4º
1.30
PPG
1.80
30%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.20
64%
BTTS %
58%
18%
Clean sheet %
33%
55%
Over 2.5 %
50%

Home vs Away

Real Calepina
Home (5)
—
Leon
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.20
20%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
1.60
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%

Goals Scored

Real CalepinaHomeAwayLeonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%67%80%92%83%100%
Over 1.5 Scored36%50%20%50%33%67%
Over 2.5 Scored9%17%0%8%17%0%
Failed To Score27%33%20%8%17%0%

Goals Conceded

Real CalepinaHomeAwayLeonHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%100%60%67%67%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%67%20%25%33%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%33%20%8%17%0%
Clean Sheets18%0%40%33%33%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Real CalepinaLeon
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.582%92%
Over 2.555%50%
Over 3.536%17%
Over 4.518%0%
BTTS64%58%
BTTS & Win18%17%
BTTS & Draw27%33%
BTTS & Over 2.545%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.59%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Real CalepinaLeon
Win 1st Half27%42%
Draw 1st Half45%33%
Loss 1st Half27%25%
Scored 1st Half36%58%
Conceded 1st Half45%42%
Win 2nd Half36%67%
Draw 2nd Half18%8%
Loss 2nd Half45%25%
Scored 2nd Half64%75%
Conceded 2nd Half64%33%
Over 0.5 HT64%83%
Over 1.5 HT18%25%

Recent Venue Form

Real Calepina (H)
DPavonese1–1
LVilla Valle0–3
LLeon0–2
LBrusaporto2–3
DCaldiero Terme2–2
WPro Palazzolo5–1
Leon (A)
WTritium1–0
WVirtus Ciserano Bergamo2–1
WReal Calepina2–0
WClub Milano2–1
DRovato Vertovese2–2
DCaldiero Terme1–1

Head to Head · 5 matches

0
Real Calepina
0%
0
Draws
0%
5
Leon
100%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
07/10/26
Real Calepina
0–2
Leon
22/02/26
Real Calepina
1–2
Leon
19/10/25
Leon
2–0
Real Calepina
10/04/22
Leon
4–3
Real Calepina
28/11/21
Real Calepina
0–1
Leon
Serie D - Girone B
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Nibbiano & Valtidone10802+924
2Chievo10712+1222
3Piacenza9531+918
4Leon10532+318
5Villa Valle10451+717
6Milan II9522+217
7Caldiero Terme10433+115
8Pavonese10433-115
9Real Calepina10343013
10Scanzorosciate10343013
11Virtus Verona10334-212
12Pro Palazzolo10325-611
13Rovato Vertovese10244-210
14Virtus Ciserano Bergamo10244-210
15Brusaporto10307-89
16Club Milano10226-58
17Fiorenzuola10136-76
18Tritium10127-105

Team Insights

Real Calepina
  • ●Real Calepina have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Real Calepina have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Real Calepina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Real Calepina have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Real Calepina have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Real Calepina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●67% of Real Calepina's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Real Calepina's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●62% of Real Calepina's points have been earned away.
Leon
  • ●Leon have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Leon have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Leon failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Leon have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Leon have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●61% of Leon's points have been earned away.
Real CalepinaReal Calepina
DAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo14º1–1
DHPavonese8º1–1
WAClub Milano16º2–1
LHVilla Valle5º0–3
LHLeon0–2
WARovato Vertovese13º1–0
LHBrusaporto15º2–3
LAPiacenza3º1–3
DHCaldiero Terme7º2–2
DAScanzorosciate10º0–0
LeonLeon
WATritium18º1–0
DHPro Patria1–1
LHChievo2º0–4
WAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo14º2–1
WHPavonese8º3–0
WAReal Calepina2–0
WAClub Milano16º2–1
LHVilla Valle5º1–2
DARovato Vertovese13º2–2
DHPiacenza3º1–1

Season Schedule

Real Calepina
DAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
DHPavonese1–1
WAClub Milano2–1
LHVilla Valle0–3
WARovato Vertovese1–0
LHBrusaporto2–3
–HChievo08/11
–ATritium15/11
–HVirtus Verona22/11
Leon
WATritium1–0
LHChievo0–4
WAVirtus Ciserano Bergamo2–1
WHPavonese3–0
WAClub Milano2–1
LHVilla Valle1–2
–HVirtus Verona08/11
–HMilan II15/11
–ANibbiano & Valtidone22/11

Top Scorers

Real Calepina
M. Cortesi4 ⚽
T. A. Ekuban3 ⚽
D. Fenotti2 ⚽
C. Belotti2 ⚽
L. Ciarmoli1 ⚽
G. Lugnan1 ⚽
Leon
M. Bonseri6 ⚽
3 ⚽
G. Camarlinghi2 ⚽
T. Bolis2 ⚽
D. Sadaj2 ⚽
N. Fiorin1 ⚽

Cards Given

Real Calepina
Leon
1 🟨