Pavonese vs Brusaporto — Serie D - Girone B
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Pavonese and Brusaporto meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Pavonese have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Brusaporto have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Pavonese and 1.16 for Brusaporto. The models give Pavonese a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Brusaporto win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
PavoneseBrusaportoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pavonese | Home | Away | Brusaporto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 60% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 67% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Pavonese | Home | Away | Brusaporto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 80% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 67% | 20% | 36% | 0% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 20% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pavonese | Brusaporto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 9% |
| BTTS | 50% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pavonese | Brusaporto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 9% |
Recent Venue Form
Pavonese (H)
Fiorenzuola2–1
Tritium3–2
Club Milano0–2Brusaporto (A)
Caldiero Terme0–2
Scanzorosciate0–1
Real Calepina3–2
Milan II1–2
Leon0–2
Oltrepò1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 2 |  Chievo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Piacenza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 |  Villa Valle | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Milan II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Virtus Verona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Scanzorosciate | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavonese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pro Palazzolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Brusaporto | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Rovato Vertovese | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Milano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritium | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Pavonese- ●Pavonese have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pavonese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Pavonese's goals have been scored at home.
Brusaporto- ●Brusaporto have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Brusaporto have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Brusaporto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Brusaporto have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Brusaporto failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Brusaporto failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Brusaporto have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Brusaporto's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
PavoneseReal Calepina1–1Fiorenzuola2–1Leon0–3Virtus Verona1–0Tritium3–2Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1Milan II28/10Pro Palazzolo01/11Scanzorosciate08/11BrusaportoCaldiero Terme0–2Nibbiano & Valtidone0–1Scanzorosciate0–1Pro Palazzolo0–1Real Calepina3–2Fiorenzuola1–0Villa Valle01/11Piacenza08/11Pavonese15/11Top Scorers
PavoneseBrusaportoCards Given
PavoneseBrusaporto