Caldiero Terme vs Pavonese — Serie D - Girone B
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Caldiero Terme and Pavonese meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Caldiero Terme have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Pavonese have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Caldiero Terme and 0.75 for Pavonese. The models give Caldiero Terme a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pavonese win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Caldiero TermePavoneseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Caldiero Terme | Home | Away | Pavonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 67% | 25% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Caldiero Terme | Home | Away | Pavonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 25% | 83% | 88% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 50% | 38% | 67% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Caldiero Terme | Pavonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Caldiero Terme | Pavonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 90% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Caldiero Terme (H)
Brusaporto2–0
Nibbiano & Valtidone1–0
Scanzorosciate1–0
Leon1–1
Varesina2–2
Villa Valle1–1Pavonese (A)
Real Calepina1–1Leon0–3
Virtus Verona1–0
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 2 | Chievo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Piacenza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milan II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Scanzorosciate | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavonese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pro Palazzolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Brusaporto | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Rovato Vertovese | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Club Milano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Caldiero Terme- ●Caldiero Terme have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Caldiero Terme have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Caldiero Terme's goals have been scored away.
- ●92% of Caldiero Terme's goals conceded were conceded away.
Pavonese- ●Pavonese have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pavonese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Pavonese's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Caldiero TermeBrusaporto2–0Piacenza1–3Pro Palazzolo3–1Nibbiano & Valtidone1–0Fiorenzuola1–1Scanzorosciate1–0Rovato Vertovese01/11Villa Valle08/11Club Milano15/11PavoneseReal Calepina1–1Fiorenzuola2–1Leon0–3Virtus Verona1–0Tritium3–2Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1Milan II28/10Pro Palazzolo01/11Scanzorosciate08/11Top Scorers
Caldiero TermePavonese