Pavonese vs Villa Valle — Serie D - Girone B
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Pavonese and Villa Valle meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Pavonese have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Villa Valle have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Pavonese and 1.26 for Villa Valle. The models give Pavonese a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Villa Valle win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
PavoneseVilla ValleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pavonese | Home | Away | Villa Valle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 75% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Pavonese | Home | Away | Villa Valle | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 40% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 50% | 57% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pavonese | Villa Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pavonese | Villa Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Pavonese (H)
Pro Palazzolo2–0
Milan II1–1
Fiorenzuola2–1
Tritium3–2
Club Milano0–2Villa Valle (A)
Scanzorosciate0–0
Real Calepina3–0
Leon2–1Tritium1–1
Virtus Verona2–2
Breno1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Chievo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Piacenza | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 | Leon | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Milan II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Caldiero Terme | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | Pavonese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Scanzorosciate | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Pro Palazzolo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Rovato Vertovese | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |  Brusaporto | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Club Milano | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Tritium | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
Team Insights
Pavonese- ●Pavonese have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pavonese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pavonese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pavonese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pavonese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Pavonese's goals have been scored at home.
Villa Valle- ●Villa Valle have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Villa Valle have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Villa Valle have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Villa Valle have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Villa Valle have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
PavonesePro Palazzolo2–0Milan II1–1Real Calepina1–1Fiorenzuola2–1Leon0–3Virtus Verona1–0Scanzorosciate08/11Brusaporto15/11Caldiero Terme22/11Villa ValleBrusaporto5–2Scanzorosciate0–0Pro Palazzolo1–0Real Calepina3–0Fiorenzuola0–0Leon2–1Caldiero Terme08/11Nibbiano & Valtidone15/11Piacenza22/11Top Scorers
PavoneseVilla Valle