Nissa vs CastrumFavara — Serie D - Girone I
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Nissa and CastrumFavara meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Nissa have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. CastrumFavara have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Nissa and 0.98 for CastrumFavara. The models give Nissa a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an CastrumFavara win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
NissaCastrumFavaraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nissa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 67% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Nissa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 67% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nissa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nissa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 80% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Nissa (H)
Vibonese0–2
Trapani 19052–0
Vigor Lamezia3–1
Reggina0–0
Gelbison4–0
Paternò4–1CastrumFavara (A)
Modica0–1
Gela1–2Paternò3–1
AC Palermo3–0
Igea Virtus2–3Vigor Lamezia2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
NissaCastrumFavaraCastrumFavaraNissa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 4 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Calcio Avola | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | AC Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 |  Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
| 17 |  Enna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 18 | Trapani 1905 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Nissa- ●63% of Nissa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Nissa's points have been earned at home.
CastrumFavara- ●CastrumFavara have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●CastrumFavara have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
NissaVibonese0–2Calcio Avola2–4Trapani 19052–0Licata1–1Vigor Lamezia3–1Igea Virtus04/10Ragusa11/10Reggina18/10CastrumFavaraCalcio Avola0–1Modica0–1Licata1–1Gela1–2Milazzo3–0Vigor Lamezia04/10Igea Virtus11/10Trapani 190518/10Top Scorers
NissaCastrumFavara