Ragusa vs CastrumFavara — Serie D - Girone I
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Ragusa and CastrumFavara meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Ragusa have recorded 0 wins from 7 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. CastrumFavara have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Ragusa and 0.92 for CastrumFavara. The models give Ragusa a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an CastrumFavara win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
RagusaCastrumFavaraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ragusa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 75% | 33% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Ragusa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ragusa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ragusa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 86% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 71% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Ragusa (H)
Nissa1–1
Trapani 19050–1
Vigor Lamezia1–1
Modica2–2
Messina0–0
AC Palermo1–2CastrumFavara (A)Vigor Lamezia0–2Modica0–1
Gela1–2
Paternò3–1AC Palermo3–0
Igea Virtus2–3Head to Head · 5 matches
CastrumFavaraRagusaCastrumFavaraRagusaCastrumFavara| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 16 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Calcio Avola | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 4 |  Vibonese | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 14 |
| 5 |  Licata | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Milazzo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Nissa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Siracusa | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Gela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Ragusa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Trapani 1905 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Enna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ragusa- ●Ragusa have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ragusa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ragusa have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ragusa have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ragusa have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
CastrumFavara- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●CastrumFavara have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●88% of CastrumFavara's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of CastrumFavara's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
RagusaNissa1–1Calcio Avola0–1Trapani 19050–1Licata0–1Vigor Lamezia1–1Milazzo1–3Igea Virtus18/10Vibonese25/10Reggina01/11CastrumFavaraIgea Virtus3–2Vigor Lamezia0–2Calcio Avola0–1Modica0–1Licata1–1Gela1–2Trapani 190518/10Reggina25/10Nissa01/11Top Scorers
RagusaCastrumFavaraCards Given
RagusaCastrumFavara