CastrumFavara vs Sambiase — Serie D - Girone I
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CastrumFavara and Sambiase meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 29 November 2026. CastrumFavara have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Sambiase have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for CastrumFavara and 1.00 for Sambiase. The models give CastrumFavara a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sambiase win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
CastrumFavaraSambiaseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| CastrumFavara | Home | Away | Sambiase | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 25% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| CastrumFavara | Home | Away | Sambiase | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CastrumFavara | Sambiase | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 38% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CastrumFavara | Sambiase | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 75% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 88% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
CastrumFavara (H)
Igea Virtus3–2
Calcio Avola0–1
Licata1–1
Milazzo3–0
Enna2–2
Gela3–1Sambiase (A)Calcio Avola1–1Licata1–2Milazzo1–0
Digiesse PraiaTortora1–1
Salernitana1–2
Reggina2–4Head to Head · 4 matches
SambiaseCastrumFavaraSambiaseCastrumFavara| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 |  Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 |  Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 |  Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
CastrumFavara- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●CastrumFavara have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●88% of CastrumFavara's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of CastrumFavara's points have been earned at home.
Sambiase- ●Sambiase have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sambiase have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sambiase have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sambiase have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sambiase have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sambiase have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sambiase have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Sambiase's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Sambiase's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CastrumFavaraTrapani 19050–1Igea Virtus3–2Vigor Lamezia0–2Calcio Avola0–1Modica0–1Licata1–1Reggina28/10Nissa01/11Vibonese08/11SambiaseNissa1–0Calcio Avola1–1Trapani 19051–0Licata1–2Vigor Lamezia4–1Milazzo1–0Igea Virtus01/11Ragusa08/11Reggina15/11Top Scorers
CastrumFavaraSambiaseCards Given
CastrumFavaraSambiase