Siracusa vs CastrumFavara — Serie D - Girone I
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Siracusa and CastrumFavara meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Siracusa have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. CastrumFavara have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Siracusa and 0.84 for CastrumFavara. The models give Siracusa a 62% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an CastrumFavara win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Siracusa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Siracusa | Home | Away | CastrumFavara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Siracusa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Siracusa | CastrumFavara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 70% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 90% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 8 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 3 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Siracusa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Siracusa have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Siracusa have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Siracusa have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Siracusa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Siracusa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Siracusa's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Siracusa's points have been earned at home.
- ●CastrumFavara have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●CastrumFavara have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●CastrumFavara have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of CastrumFavara's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of CastrumFavara's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of CastrumFavara's points have been earned at home.