Modica vs Gela — Serie D - Girone I
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Modica and Gela meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Modica have recorded 1 wins from 5 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Gela have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Modica and 0.87 for Gela. The models give Modica a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Gela win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Modica
GelaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Modica | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Modica | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 50% | 100% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modica | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modica | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Modica (H)
CastrumFavara1–0
Reggina0–1Gela (A)
Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1
Siracusa1–2
Sambiase1–2
Gelbison0–1CastrumFavara1–3
Nissa0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +15 | 15 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 4 |  Igea Virtus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 6 |  Calcio Avola | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Licata | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  AC Palermo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Nissa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Milazzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Siracusa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 12 | CastrumFavara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Modica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Gela | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 2 |
| 17 |  Enna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 1 |
| 18 |  Trapani 1905 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Modica- ●Modica have lost their last 2 away matches.
Gela- ●Gela have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gela have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
ModicaSiracusa0–1CastrumFavara1–0Sambiase0–1Reggina0–1Ragusa2–2Enna04/10Digiesse PraiaTortora11/10AC Palermo18/10GelaDigiesse PraiaTortora0–1Enna0–0Siracusa1–2CastrumFavara2–1Sambiase1–2AC Palermo04/10Milazzo11/10Vibonese18/10Top Scorers
ModicaGelaCards Given
ModicaGela