Vigor Lamezia vs Modica — Serie D - Girone I
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Vigor Lamezia and Modica meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Vigor Lamezia have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Modica have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 18%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Vigor Lamezia and 0.99 for Modica. The models give Vigor Lamezia a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Modica win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Vigor LameziaModicaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vigor Lamezia | Home | Away | Modica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 67% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 40% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Vigor Lamezia | Home | Away | Modica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 100% | 64% | 40% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 17% | 60% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vigor Lamezia | Modica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 45% | 18% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vigor Lamezia | Modica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 27% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Vigor Lamezia (H)
AC Palermo0–1
Enna3–0
Gelbison2–2
CastrumFavara2–0
Reggina0–3
Igea Virtus2–2Modica (A)
Milazzo0–1
Digiesse PraiaTortora1–5
Calcio Avola4–0
Siracusa0–1
Sambiase0–1
Ragusa2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 |  Licata | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | AC Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Nissa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 8 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
Team Insights
Vigor Lamezia- ●Vigor Lamezia have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vigor Lamezia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Lamezia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Lamezia have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Vigor Lamezia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Vigor Lamezia's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Vigor Lamezia's points have been earned at home.
- ●Vigor Lamezia have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Modica- ●Modica have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Modica have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Modica have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Modica failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Modica failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Modica have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Modica's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Modica's points have been earned at home.
- ●Modica have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vigor LameziaAC Palermo0–1Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1Enna3–0Siracusa0–3CastrumFavara2–0Sambiase1–4Milazzo08/11Gela15/11Licata22/11ModicaGela0–1Milazzo0–1Digiesse PraiaTortora1–5Enna3–0Siracusa0–1CastrumFavara1–0Licata08/11Vibonese15/11Calcio Avola22/11Top Scorers
Vigor LameziaModica