Pavia vs Pro Patria — Serie D - Girone D
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Pavia and Pro Patria meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Pavia have recorded 0 wins from 9 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Pro Patria have won 80% of their 10 matches, with 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Pavia and 1.30 for Pro Patria. The models give Pavia a 31% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Pro Patria win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
PaviaPro PatriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pavia | Home | Away | Pro Patria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 17% | 0% | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pavia | Home | Away | Pro Patria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pavia | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 20% |
| BTTS | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pavia | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Pavia (H)
Varesina2–2
Sant'Angelo1–3
Arconatese1–1
Solbiatese0–0
Crema0–0
Albinoleffe0–4Pro Patria (A)
Città di Varese5–2Varesina0–0Arconatese3–0
Pontedera3–2
Renate1–2
Dolomiti Bellunesi4–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 | Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Pavia- ●Pavia have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Pavia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
Pro Patria- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Pro Patria have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PaviaVaresina2–2Correggese1–2Arconatese1–1Sant'Angelo0–0Solbiatese0–0Crema0–0Pistoiese18/10USD Casatese25/10Pro Patria01/11Pro PatriaSant'Angelo1–0Varesina0–0Solbiatese0–1Arconatese3–0Crema2–0Pontedera3–2USD Casatese18/10Correggese25/10Pavia01/11Top Scorers
PaviaPro PatriaCards Given
PaviaPro Patria