Pistoiese vs Castellanzese — Serie D - Girone D
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Pistoiese and Castellanzese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Pistoiese have recorded 7 wins from 9 matches this season (78% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 11% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 78% of games. Castellanzese have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Pistoiese and 1.04 for Castellanzese. The models give Pistoiese a 56% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Castellanzese win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
PistoieseCastellanzeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pistoiese | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 60% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 40% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Pistoiese | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 40% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 78% | 100% | 60% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pistoiese | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS | 11% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pistoiese | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 11% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Pistoiese (H)
Correggese1–0
Sant'Angelo3–0
Arconatese5–0
Solbiatese2–0
Piacenza1–3
Cittadella Vis Modena5–0Castellanzese (A)Sant'Angelo2–1Solbiatese4–1
Lentigione0–1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo2–2
USD Casatese0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +17 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
Pistoiese- ●Pistoiese have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Castellanzese- ●Castellanzese have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PistoieseCorreggese1–0USD Casatese3–0Sant'Angelo3–0Varesina1–0Arconatese5–0Crema3–1Pavia18/10Cittadella Vis Modena25/10Castellanzese01/11CastellanzeseArconatese1–0Sant'Angelo2–1Crema4–0Solbiatese4–1Oltrepò0–1Lentigione0–1Correggese18/10Varesina25/10Pistoiese01/11Top Scorers
PistoieseCastellanzese