USD Casatese vs Pro Sesto — Serie D - Girone D
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USD Casatese and Pro Sesto meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 1 November 2026. USD Casatese have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 80% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Pro Sesto have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 3.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for USD Casatese and 1.50 for Pro Sesto. The models give USD Casatese a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pro Sesto win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
USD CasatesePro SestoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Pro Sesto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Pro Sesto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 100% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 67% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| USD Casatese | Pro Sesto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS | 80% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 60% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| USD Casatese | Pro Sesto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
USD Casatese (H)
Varesina4–2
Sant'Angelo1–2
Arconatese2–1
Chievo2–3
Leon4–0Leon1–0Pro Sesto (A)
Crema3–0
Città di Varese2–0
Correggese0–1
Piacenza1–3
Pro Palazzolo0–0
Sangiuliano City2–1Head to Head · 3 matches
Pro SestoUSD CasateseUSD Casatese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 12 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 | USD Casatese | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Lentigione | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Castellanzese | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 9 |
| 7 | Sant'Angelo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Correggese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Città di Varese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Solbiatese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 |  Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Varesina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Oltrepò | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 2 |
| 17 | Crema | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Team Insights
USD Casatese- ●USD Casatese have won their last 2 matches.
- ●70% of USD Casatese's goals have been scored at home.
Pro Sesto- ●Pro Sesto have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Pro Sesto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
USD CasateseVaresina4–2Correggese3–1Sant'Angelo1–2Solbiatese0–0Arconatese2–1Pistoiese04/10Cittadella Vis Modena11/10Pro Patria18/10Pro SestoOltrepò6–1Crema3–0Pontedera3–0Città di Varese2–0Lentigione2–3Arconatese04/10Solbiatese11/10Varesina18/10Top Scorers
USD CasatesePro Sesto